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Our expert’s choice of the day: let’s trust Fabian Zetterlund

On this Thursday, I believe San Jose Sharks forward Fabian Zetterlund will take over 2.5 shots against the Chicago Blackhawks.

My analyzes predict that he will accumulate three or more shots on goal in this duel presented at the United Center.

Here are some arguments in favor of this bet:

First of all, the Blackhawks are a team that gives up a lot of shots. Last year, they gave up the fourth most shots in the entire league. So far in 2024-25, the sample size is still small, but currently they have conceded the sixth-most shots per game. They clearly don’t have a high-level defense.

Zetterlund is entering his fifth year in the National Hockey League (NHL). That said, last year was actually his first full season on the Bettman circuit. He played all 82 games of the regular season, while he had never exceeded 45 games before in his professional career.

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He really solidified his place with the Sharks last year. Let’s take a look at the last two months of his final season, March and April.

Let’s say you bet on Zetterlund to make more than 2.5 shots in each of his 24 games during that span. Doing this would have given you a 14-10 record. That translates to a success rate of 58.3%, and now he’s about to face a club that concedes more shots than the average team.

According to my mathematical model, we have a 63% chance of winning this bet. This means we have a bet with good value, provided the odds are 1.59 or more in decimal format. Currently, all oddsmakers are offering odds that match this description, so we have the green light to move forward with this bet!

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