Pronostic Everton – Aston Villa

Wednesday evening, Goodison Park hosts a duel with very different stakes between Everton and Aston Villa. The Villans, solid 8th in the standings, will try to get closer to Bournemouth who are only one point ahead of them. For its part, Everton, 16th with only 17 points, is playing for its survival in the elite with a tiny margin of one point in the red zone.

This match marks the big return of David Moyes to the Toffees bench, recalled in recent days for a maintenance mission after the dismissal of Sean Dyche. A comeback which could breathe new impetus into a team lacking offensive success, having scored only one goal in its last five matches.

Facing them, Unai Emery’s men display a more encouraging dynamic, notably illustrated by their recent qualification for the FA Cup at the expense of West Ham (2-1). Their strike force could soon be strengthened with the probable arrival of Donyell Malen from Borussia Dortmund, negotiations being in the final stages according to the latest information.

Everton – Aston Villa match details

• Stade: Goodison Park
• Time: 01/15/2025 8:30 p.m.

The Everton side – Aston Villa

For the football predictions on the Everton – Aston Villa match, Villa appears as favorite with odds of 2.35.

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Who is the favorite for Everton – Aston Villa

Discover the probabilities for the different 1X2 predictions as well as the best odds for the match on 01/15/2025 between Everton and Aston Villa in the Premier League.

• Everton win : 28% chance.
• Draw : 28% chance.
• Aston Villa win : 44% chance.

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Everton – Aston Villa: History of confrontations

Over the last 5 confrontations between these two teams, Aston Villa largely dominates with 3 victories against only one for Everton and a draw. The dynamic is clearly to the advantage of the Villans who also remain on a 3-2 victory in September 2024 against the Toffees.

The last clash at Goodison Park in January 2024 ended in a 0-0 draw, but Aston Villa had previously won back-to-back away wins, including a convincing 2-0 in 2023.

A significant element emerges from these confrontations: the second half often proves decisive. In 80% of cases, we see at least two goals after the break. Even more remarkable, Aston Villa have systematically scored in the second half in the last three head-to-head matches, while Everton have conceded at least one goal in the same period.

Everton’s only victory in this series dates back to September 2023 in the League Cup (2-1), but it is an exception. The Villans have since resumed their domination, notably with this spectacular 4-0 victory in August 2023.

Everton: News and form

Everton’s situation remains worrying in the Premier League, with 16th place and only one point ahead of the red zone. The return of David Moyes to the Toffees bench illustrates the urgency of redressing the situation. Recent results in the league demonstrate the team’s offensive difficulties, with two defeats against Bournemouth (1-0) and Nottingham Forest (0-2), interspersed with two draws against Manchester City (1-1) and Chelsea. (0-0). The FA Cup qualification against Peterborough (2-0) brings a positive note, but does not mask the structural deficiencies of the team.

A return to revive the team

The most striking statistic concerns the lack of offensive efficiency, particularly in the second half where the team struggles to score. The last five matches show a worrying trend with 100% of matches ending below the 2.5 goal mark. The encouraging point remains the defensive solidity displayed against top teams like Chelsea and Manchester City, proving that the team retains a certain resilience despite its difficulties.

A transfer window that could have an effect

The potential arrival of Ernest Nuamah from Lyon could provide a solution in the offensive sector, but the entire team will have to mobilize to avoid an even more delicate situation. The four-point gap to Crystal Palace above and pressure from Wolves a point behind puts Everton in an unstable position that requires a quick reaction.

Everton – Key Points

• Critical position : Everton sit 16th in the Premier League, just one point ahead of the relegation zone, highlighting the urgency for improvement.
• Mixed recent results : Two defeats (Bournemouth 1-0, Nottingham Forest 0-2) and two promising draws (Manchester City 1-1, Chelsea 0-0) demonstrate the team’s constant challenges.
• Limited offensive effectiveness : The Toffees have not scored a second-half goal in their last five matches, and 100% of those encounters have recorded under 2.5 goals.
• Defensive solidity : Despite the difficulties, Everton showed defensive resilience against top teams like Chelsea and Manchester City.
• Reinforcement expected in the transfer window : The potential arrival of Ernest Nuamah could offer offensive solutions, but collective mobilization remains essential to secure maintenance.
• Ranking pressure : With Crystal Palace four points ahead and Wolves one point behind, Everton must react quickly to avoid sinking further.

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Everton: Last five matches

Compositions probables Everton

David Moyes should opt for a classic 4-2-3-1, favoring defensive solidity and a structured attack. The Gueye-Mangala duo in the midfield will ensure the balance between recovery and rapid transition. Offensively, McNeil, Ndiaye, and Harrison will provide a combination of speed and creativity to feed Calvert-Lewin, a strong point and finisher up front. This system will allow Everton to maintain a certain compactness while exploiting spaces in Aston Villa’s defense.

Aston Villa: News and form

Aston Villa continue to impress under the leadership of Unai Emery, as evidenced by their latest FA Cup victory against West Ham (2-1). The Villans, currently 8th in the Premier League with 32 points, are in encouraging form with three victories in their last five matches, including a notable success against Manchester City (2-1). Their only recent setback, a 3-0 defeat at Newcastle, appears to be a blip in a generally positive series.

One victory away from the top 5

The team is characterized by remarkable offensive efficiency, particularly in the second half where it has scored in 80% of its last matches. This tendency to gain strength over the course of the matches has become a trademark, even if the defense remains subject to improvement with goals conceded in each of the last five matches. The 2-2 draw against Brighton illustrated this mixture of offensive strength and defensive fragility.

Defense in question

Just one point behind Bournemouth and two points ahead of Fulham, Aston Villa find themselves in an interesting position to aim higher. Recent potential reinforcements, including interest in Donyell Malen from Borussia Dortmund and Loïc Badé from Sevilla, demonstrate the club’s ambition to strengthen an already competitive squad. Qualification for the FA Cup confirms the team’s ability to perform on several fronts, even if defensive consistency remains a major area of ​​improvement for the second half of the season.

Aston Villa – Key Points

• Position solide : Aston Villa is 8th in the Premier League with 32 points, one point behind Bournemouth and two points ahead of Fulham, suggesting European ambitions.
• Recent positive results : Three victories in the last five matches, including a notable success against Manchester City (2-1) and an FA Cup qualification against West Ham (2-1).
• Offensive efficiency : The Villans have scored in the second half in 80% of their last meetings, showing an ability to build momentum throughout the matches.
• Improved defense : Despite their attacking form, Aston Villa have conceded goals in each of their last five games, highlighting a weak point that needs to be addressed.
• Potential reinforcements : The club is targeting ambitious recruits, with interest in Donyell Malen (Dortmund) and Loïc Badé (Sevilla), highlighting a desire to consolidate the team.
• Top 5 objective : With solid performances on several fronts, Villa is well placed to move closer to European places, provided they improve their defensive consistency.

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Aston Villa: Last five matches

Compositions probables Aston Villa

Aston Villa could rely on a 4-2-3-1 formation, favoring a compact midfielder with Kamara and Tielemans to ensure recovery and transition. The presence of Cash and Maatsen on the sides will provide offensive solutions while strengthening the defense. On offense, Bailey and Rogers will play key roles in creation, while Watkins, up front, will be the main threat to close out plays. This system should allow Villa to maintain a solid organization while exploiting spaces in the opposing camp.