UBB Toulon match analysis
The stakes of the UBB Toulon match
This is one of the posters for this 13th day between the championship leader and Toulon, currently on the podium. No advantage at the level of motivation
State of form
Union Bordeaux-Bègles has just scored a 5th consecutive victory after its success from the Castres pitch (13-3). Maxime Lucu's partners notably shone in Europe by securing a victory at home against the Leicester Tigers (42-28) before winning with a new offensive bonus at Ulster (40-19). In the championship, the club has still not fallen at home and has notably taken the measure of Bayonne, Racing and Perpignan. Beaten in Clermont, Lyon and La Rochelle, the UBB has a solid record of 9 victories against 3 defeats which allowed it to regain the leading position in the Top 14 last week.
Opposite, RC Toulon is still on the heels of one of the first two places in the championship by placing itself on the podium of the Top 14. The club is also on a positive dynamic of 6 consecutive victories with improved successes in Europe against Glasgow (30-29) and on the Stormers pitch (14-24). In the championship, RC Toulon largely dominated the Section Paloise last week (56-25) to secure a 4th victory in a row after successes over Bayonne, Lyon but also on the lawn of Perpignan. Among the best offensive teams in the championship, Toulon has scored 310 points this season and has a total of 8 wins and 4 defeats. Excellent form for both teams
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Staff numbers for UBB Toulon
The UBB XV: 15. Bielle-Biarrey; 14. Penaud, 13. Depoortere, 12. Moefana, 11. Retière; 10. Carbery, 9. Lucu (cap); 7. Matiu, 8. Tatafu, 6. Diaby; 5. Coleman, 4. Petti; 3. Sadie, 2. Lamothe, 1. Boniface
Substitutes: 16. Sa, 17. Poirot, 18. Cazeaux, 19. Gazzotti, 20. Swinton, 21. Garcia, 22. Janse Van Rensburg, 23. Tameifuna.
Absent last week because they were rested, winger Bielle-Biarrey, scrum half Maxime Lucu and third row Gazzotti will be there. The first city is aligned at the back to let Damian Penaud and Arthur Rétière play on the wings. At the hinge, Carbery takes his place alongside Maxime Lucu who recovers the captain's armband. Gazzotti will start on the substitutes' bench. In the forward pack, only hooker Sa is replaced by Lamothe in a classic rotation.
The Toulon XV: 15. Tuicuvu ; 14. Dréan, 13. Fainga'anuku, 12. Frisch, 11. Villière ; 10. Hervé, 9. Danglot ; 7. Ollivon (cap.), 8. Isa, 6. Coulon ; 5. Alain-West, 4. Hallagher ; 3. Gigashvili, 2. Lucchesi, 1. Brennan.
Substitutes: 16. Baubigny, 17. Priso, 18. Ribbans, 19. Le Corvec, 20. Quere-Karaba, 21. Garbisi, 22. Cowie, 23. Setiano.
Toulon will have to do without an important executive for this trip, namely scrum half Baptiste Serin who must stay warm to celebrate the birth of his son. He is replaced by Danglot who will play alongside Hervé since Garbisi will start on the bench. Behind, Tuicuvu replaces Domon while wingers Dréan and Villière continue. In the center, Frisch joins New Zealand striker Fainga'anuku. In the pack, the left pillar Brennan, the second line Alainu'uese and the third lines Isa and Coulon make their entry. International Charles Ollivon remains starter and captain. Slight UBB advantage on paper
The home/away balance sheet
- Bordeaux-Bègles has the 3rd record in the championship at home with 6 victories (Stade Français, Racing, Bayonne, Perpignan, Pau, Montpellier)
- Toulon presents the 4th record of the championship away from home with 2 victories (Stade Français, Perpignan) and 4 defeats (La Rochelle, Clermont, Racing, Toulouse)
Other parameters to take into account
RAS.
What are the probabilities of the UBB Toulon prognosis?
- UBB's victory against Toulon has a probability of 89%.
- The draw between UBB and Toulon has a 3% chance of taking place according to the match odds.
- Toulon's victory against UBB has a probability of 8%.
1N2 predictions for the UBB Toulon match
To maintain the confidence acquired recently and the lead in the championship, UBB has no other choice than to win this important duel in the race towards the title. UBB victory
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