This article offers you a good value bet on one of the two Monday night games in the NFL.
The suggestion in question is a bet on a player that I think has nice expected value.
MORE THAN 2.5 RECEPTIONS FOR KYLE PITTS (ATLANTA)
In the Falcons-Raiders game, I like the chances of seeing Kyle Pitts make more than 2.5 receptions. In other words, I think he’ll find a way to catch at least three passes tonight.
The Falcons absolutely need this game to keep pace with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the National Association South. If Atlanta wants to make the playoffs, the first step is getting Kirk Cousins on the right track. He’s been terrible in his last four games, posting eight interceptions and no touchdowns. What is happening?
One thing that would help Cousins is the revival of tight end Kyle Pitts. He’s also going through a bad streak. He has caught zero or one pass in four of his last five games. Before that, he had a series of four duels in which he caught four, seven, three and seven passes. He made up a good part of this attack.
One of the best ways for Cousins and Pitts to get going is to face a weak and depleted team. This is clearly the case tonight.
So far this year, Vegas is the seventh most generous team to opposing quarterbacks in terms of passing ratio. Now, things are about to get even worse, as Maxx Crosby will not return to action this season due to an ankle injury. He was by far their best player to apply pressure on the enemy pivot. From now on, rival quarterbacks will have much more time to scan the field before releasing their passes.
Cousins knows all about Pitts’ struggles. So he will do everything he can to give him a chance to succeed tonight. For this reason, I’m betting Pitts will catch at least three balls against the Raiders.
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