Key information
- The Israeli military sees an opportunity to target Iranian nuclear sites.
- The weakening of Syria and Hezbollah has removed obstacles to possible strikes on Iran.
- A preemptive attack by Israel against Iran could be very controversial internationally.
The Israeli military sees a window of strategic opportunity to target Iranian nuclear sites. As Syria has weakened considerably following the fall of Bashar al-Assad, Israeli air forces have carried out numerous airstrikes against Syrian army bases.
This domination of Syrian airspace has removed a significant obstacle to possible strikes on Iran, since Assad’s air defenses are no longer operational. The IDF believes that the current situation, in which Iranian proxy groups are weakened and Hezbollah seriously compromised, provides a favorable opportunity to take action against Iranian nuclear facilities. According to some reports, Israel is actively preparing for such strikes.
Regional dynamics
The weakening of Iran’s regional influence, combined with the decline of Hezbollah, could prompt Tehran to accelerate its nuclear program in an attempt to strengthen its deterrence capabilities. Some Israeli and Western officials believe the increased pressure could lead Iran to prioritize developing a nuclear weapon as a last resort in the face of perceived threats.
International fallout
Although Iran maintains that its nuclear program is intended solely for peaceful energy purposes, events unfolding in Syria have clearly had an impact on its regional position. The IDF highlighted the success of its air operations which crippled Syrian air defenses, thus asserting Israeli air superiority in the region.
However, any pre-emptive attack by Israel against Iran would be highly controversial, both domestically and internationally. Prime Minister Netanyahu is already being criticized for his handling of the situation in Gaza. A potential Iranian conflict could also reignite tensions with Hezbollah in Lebanon, jeopardizing the recently concluded ceasefire and preventing the safe return of Israeli citizens to northern areas.
If you want access to all articles, subscribe here!
