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The conflict between Israel and Hezbollah represents a collision of irreconcilable goals, with each side firmly determined to achieve its ends. For Israel, the ultimate goal is the full implementation of UN Resolution 1559, demanding the disarmament of Hezbollah and the transfer of all its weapons to the Lebanese army. From Tel Aviv’s point of view, this measure is essential to neutralize what is seen as an existential threat on its northern border.
For Hezbollah, the stakes are just as crucial. It seeks to respond strongly to Israeli strikes by using its missile arsenal to target strategic sites in Israel, including northern villages, Haifa and even Tel Aviv. This strategy, presented as a form of resistance, aims to maintain its deterrent capacity while exerting maximum pressure on Israel.
Lebanon, taken hostage in this conflict, is suffering the most serious consequences. Unlike Israel, which has advanced defense systems like Iron Dome, Lebanon remains largely exposed, making it particularly vulnerable. Each escalation leaves the country further weakened, both materially and socially.
Mutual hostility between the two sides fuels a destructive cycle in which neither side shows a willingness to compromise. A ceasefire appears unattainable, as it would require both sides to abandon their fundamental objectives, which remain diametrically opposed. Therefore, the future seems to offer only a prospect of increased devastation, with Lebanon as the main victim of this intractable conflict.
This dynamic highlights the asymmetry of the issues. While Israel has the means necessary to mitigate the damage, the Lebanese population faces existential risks, aggravated by the absence of an international intervention capable of imposing a lasting solution. Without a change in strategy or external mediation, the future portends more suffering for a country already on the brink.
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Swiss
