Our football prediction expert gives you his three best bets for Lille Lyon, counting for the 32nd day of Ligue 1, this Monday at 9 p.m.
Lille Lyon prediction: bets, context and lineups
Our sports betting expert presents his predictions for Lille Lyon ahead of their Ligue 1 clash on May 6.
Best bets for Lille Lyon
- Victory for Lille ⭐ with odds of 1.95 on Betsson, i.e. a probability of 51% that the home team wins.
- Less than 0.5 goals for Lyon ⭐ with odds of 3.00 on Betsson, i.e. a probability of 33% that Lille keeps its goal inviolate.
- Jonathan David scorer ⭐ with odds of 2.20 on Betsson, giving a 45% chance that the Canadian striker scores.
Odds are provided by Betsson at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Our analysis: the state of form of the two teams
Lille are looking to secure a place in the Champions League and can take a big step towards that goal on Monday. Lyon eliminated Lille from the Coupe de France in February. Paul Fonseca’s team is 4th in the standings and is aiming for the top three to join Europe’s elite next season. They are one point from Brest and three from Monaco. Lille have been exceptional on their home field this season. They beat Lyon 2-0 in the first leg but the visitors improved.
Lyon’s season has been a real roller coaster ride. Their disastrous form at the start of the season, which saw them go 10 league games without a win, left fans fearing the worst and sparking clashes with players. However, the situation has improved significantly in recent months. Pierre Sage was appointed interim manager and galvanized the team. The prospect of seeing one of the biggest clubs in France playing in the second division is now ruled out. Lyon are now 8th in Ligue 1. Their last match was a 3-2 win against Monaco, who are 2nd in the table.
The probable lineups for Lille Lyon
The probable composition of Lille:
Chevalier, Ismaily, Diakite, Ribeiro, Santos, Cabella, Bentaleb, Haraldsson, Gomes, Zhegrova, David.
The probable composition of Lyon:
Lopes, Mata, Celeta-Car, O’Brien, Matic, Tolisso, Maitland-Niles, Caqueret, Lacazette, Benrahma, Nuamah.
The first of our Lille vs Lyon predictions is a victory for Lille. Lyon can get a result against anyone, but the home form of Paulo Fonseca’s side is hard to argue with. They have lost only one of their 15 Ligue 1 matches at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Pierre Sage’s side lost 4-1 in their last away match against PSG. This ended a run of five consecutive road victories in Ligue 1. Here they face a Lille team with the best home record in the division. They had two more wins at home than Luis Enrique’s team having played one game less.
Prediction 2: Less than 0.5 goals for Lyon @ 3.00 with Betsson
Lille has the second best defense in Ligue 1. They concede on average just 0.87 goals per game. The statistics are even more promising if we only look at their home games. Fonseca’s team conceded an average of 0.53 goals per home game. Lille have kept a clean sheet in four of their seven home games in 2024. Lyon have shown they are dangerous under Sage but have failed to score in two of their last four visits to this ground. So we bet that the home team will keep a clean sheet.
Prediction 3: Jonathan David scorer @ 2.20 with Betsson
Jonathan David has been prolific for Lille this season. He has scored 17 league goals in 31 appearances. Only Kylian Mbappe has managed to score more goals than the Canadian in the elite of French football. David has a non-penalty xG of 0.45 per 90 minutes played. He received an average of 7.38 progressive passes per 90 minutes played, suggesting he took up many dangerous positions. The striker scored as Lille beat Lyon 2-0 in the first leg.
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