Two points ahead
More recently, the Democratic candidate’s declarations on her own firearm, “if someone forces entry to my home, they will be shot” or even the support of the interplanetary star Taylor Swift, allowed her to widen the gap in the latest surveys.
According to our interactive module (above) on the polls of the two finalists, which takes into account the latest averages of surveys published in the United States, calculated by the site RealClearPolitics.com, the Democratic candidate could count on two points in advance (49.2%) as of September 24 in voting intentions for his Republican competitor (47.2% for Donald Trump). Tuesday, September 24, a Reuters-Ipsos poll even credited the current vice-president with 47% of voting intentions, compared to 40% for her Republican rival, reports BFMTV.
Caution
Despite this progress, analysts remain cautious. Nate Silver, polling specialist, asserts that “We will probably arrive on November 5 without knowing who the next president will be. This situation is unprecedented and will create dangers for the post-election period,” he explains in Newsweek.
Uncertainty will also be fueled to the end by the American voting method which will therefore not be decided by the number of votes garnered but by the election of electors for each of the two camps. The winner will be the one who wins at least 270 of the 538 voters. The handful of usually undecided states will once again be central to the final outcome.
