Our football prediction expert gives you his best bets for Real Madrid Alavès, counting for the 7th day of La Liga, this Tuesday at 9 p.m.
Real Madrid Alavès prediction: bets, context and lineups
Best Bets for Real Madrid Alavès: Probabilities and Odds
- Real Madrid win & clean sheet ⭐ @1.80 with Vbet, representative a probability of 55.56%according to our algorithm, that Real wins without conceding a goal.
- Over 3.5 goals in the match ⭐ @2.30 with Vbet, representing a probability of 43.48%according to our forecasts, that the match involves four or more goals.
- Kylian Mbappé over 2.5 shots on target ⭐ @2.20 with Vbet, representative a probability of 45.45%according to our model, that Mbappé succeeds in three or more shots on target.
We predict a 4-0 victory for Real Madrid against Alavès at the Bernabeu.
Odds are provided by Vbet at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Take advantage of the best odds on Vbet by creating your player account on the bookmaker with the promo code VBETGOAL:
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Our analysis: the form of the two teams
The start of the 2024/25 La Liga season is encouraging for Real Madrid and Alavés, but in different ways. Real have lived up to pre-season expectations, while Alaves have surprised most pundits with their bold start to the campaign.
Merengues still in search of automatisms
Real Madrid are averaging more than two points per game, winning four and drawing two in their first six La Liga games this season. They have conceded just three goals and scored 13, helped by the likes of Vinicius Jr and Kylian Mbappe. Their strong start to the season has been slightly overshadowed by Barcelona’s flawless run, however, making Tuesday night’s game crucial for Real.
Real’s start to the season has been marked by a certain ambivalence. While the results have been generally positive, with a series of league wins and a first narrow victory in the Champions League, the game played by the Merengue has not yet fully convinced.
Carlo Ancelotti’s team is struggling to regain the fluidity and efficiency that made it strong in previous seasons. The team play is often choppy, the combinations are less fluid and the goal-scoring opportunities are less clear. Madrid seem to depend on individual strokes of genius rather than on a constructed and coherent game. This dependence on the inspiration of a few key players can prove dangerous in the long term.
The comparison with FC Barcelona is inevitable. The Blaugranas, for their part, display a radiant face and an attractive game. The contrast is striking between the two teams, who nevertheless share a historic rivalry. While Barça seems to have found its identity and strength, Real Madrid is for the moment looking for benchmarks.
Alavès in continuity with last season
As for Basque side Deportivo Alavès, they have capitalised on their tenth-place finish from last season and continued their momentum heading into 2023/24. Luis Garcia Plaza’s men have won three of their first six La Liga games this season, with a recent 2-1 victory over Sevilla taking them up to sixth ahead of their trip to the Bernabeu.
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Probable squads for Real Madrid Alavès
The probable composition of Real Madrid (4-3-3):
Courtois ; Carvajal, Garcia, Tchouameni, Militao, Modric, Bellingham, Valverde, Guler, Rodrygo, Mbappé.
Absent players: Alaba; Carvajal; Camavinga; Ceballos; Diaz.
The probable composition of Alaves (4-2-3-1):
Sivera ; Tenaglia, Sanchez, Abqar, Sedlar, Jordan, Guevara, Vicente, Martin, Stoichkov, Martinez.
Absent players: Pliers; New.
Key stats to know when betting on Real Alavès
- Real have won 5 of their last 6 games while Alavés have won 3 of their last 6 games.
- Real Madrid are 2nd in La Liga with 4 wins and 2 draws while Alavés are 7th with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
- Kylian Mbappé has scored 6 goals in 8 games, including 4 in La Liga. He is joint top scorer in the championship with Lewandowski.
- Alavès’ last victory against Real dates back to 2020. Since then, the Basque club has lost every head-to-head, conceding 17 goals in 5 games.
Best Bets to Take for Real Madrid Alavès
Our key prediction: Real Madrid vs Alavès 1 prediction – Real Madrid wins & clean sheet @1.80 with Vbet
Although Alavés have been in good form recently, it is difficult to imagine anything other than a home victory for Real Madrid on Tuesday night. Real have won their last five games against Alavés, keeping a clean sheet in their last three encounters.
We expect that run to continue this week, with Real looking to make a statement with a resounding win to put the pressure on league leaders Barcelona.
Alavés have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine meetings with Real, and their last trip to the Bernabeu in May 2024 ended in a 5-0 defeat.
⭐ Win €180 by betting on the Merengues keeping a clean sheet with the €100 welcome bonus!
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Our security prediction: Real Madrid vs Alavès 2 prediction – Over 3.5 goals in the match @2.30 with Vbet
Looking at recent meetings between Real and Alavés at the Bernabeu, there have been several 3-0 wins, a 4-0 victory and, most recently, a 5-0 victory for Real. With goal difference likely to be a factor this season, Real will surely be looking to strike hard against Alavés this week.
With attractive odds, we support a bet on over 3.5 goals in this case, estimating that Real will score at least three goals. This bet remains valid even if Alavès manages to score a goal.
⭐ Win €230 by betting that the match has at least 4 goals with the €100 welcome bonus!
- Complete your registration on Vbet to take advantage of the bonus of up to €100 on your first bet.
- Enter the code VBETGOAL when opening your account
- Bet €100 on “Over 3.5 goals in the match”
- Win €230 for a good bet
- In the event of a losing bet, €100 will be refunded to you in freebets as soon as the result is known.
Our goal scorer prediction: Real Madrid vs Alavès 3 prediction – Kylian Mbappé more than 2.5 shots on target @2.20 with Vbet
French wonderkid Kylian Mbappe has settled in well to his new life at the Bernabeu. The forward has scored four goals in his first six La Liga games this season. He is averaging 1.84 shots on target per game, as well as 1.23 shots off target.
Mbappe also ranks in the 98th percentile in La Liga for total shots attempted, with 15 attempts in six appearances. That’s why we see him slightly surpassing his current stats by managing three shots on target in what will likely be a one-sided game.
⭐ Win €220 by betting that Kylian Mbappé scores at least 3 shots on target or more in the match with the €100 welcome bonus!
- Complete your registration on Vbet to take advantage of the bonus of up to €100 on your first bet.
- Enter the code VBETGOAL when opening your account
- Bet €100 on “Kylian Mbappé scores 2.5 shots or more”
- Win €220 for a good bet
- In the event of a losing bet, €100 will be refunded to you in freebets as soon as the result is known.
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