1X2 prediction: which team to bet on?
Arsenal wins the match
1. Arsenal’s recent away results: Arsenal have won 80% of their last 5 away games, with a very solid defensive ability, conceding an average of only 0.2 goals per game. This demonstrates their ability to maintain a solid defensive performance while being threatening on the offensive end.
2. Atalanta Bergamo’s home performance: Atalanta wins 80% of their home games, but their defense has shown weaknesses, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. This trend could provide opportunities for the relatively more defensive Arsenal team to capitalize on these weaknesses.
3. Betting Stats: The betting odds offer a 51.78% chance of Arsenal winning the match, which is significantly higher than the odds of Atalanta winning (26.9%) or drawing (21.32%). This indicates Arsenal’s consistent performances of late and suggests that the bookmakers see Arsenal as the favourites to win the match.
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Over/Under 2.5: that draw?
More than 2.5 goals in the match
1. The attacking performance of Atalanta and Arsenal is quite similar with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game in their last 5 games. This means that between them, the average goals per game is 3.2, which is higher than the target of 2.5 goals.
2. Atalanta’s defense is weak having conceded 15 goals in their last 5 home games while Arsenal’s defense is stronger having conceded only 10 goals in their last 5 away games. This increases the probability of a match with over 2.5 goals given the vulnerability of Atalanta’s defense.
3. The history of the two teams’ meetings shows a tendency towards high-scoring games. For example, Atalanta have won 3 of their last 5 home games by a score of over 2.5 goals. Similarly, 3 of Arsenal’s last 5 away games have also finished with a score of over 2.5 goals.
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BTTS: Will both teams score?
Both teams score: Yes
1. The statistics show a strong attacking potential for both teams: Atalanta Bergamo and Arsenal score an average of 1.6 goals per game respectively.
2. Both teams have flaws in their defence, particularly Atalanta who have conceded 15 goals in their last 5 home games, and Arsenal who have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 away games.
3. Match history shows that both teams tend to score in their respective encounters. For example, in Atalanta Bergamo’s last five home games, the opposing team has scored at least one goal in 4 out of 5 of the games. This is also the case for Arsenal in their away games.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet?
More than 2.5 goals in the match
1. Recent statistics show a tendency for Atalanta Bergamo and Arsenal to score goals. In their last 5 respective matches, Atalanta have scored 15 goals and Arsenal have scored 8 goals. This gives an average of 3.2 goals per match, which is higher than the 2.5 goals required for this bet.
2. Atalanta Bergamo have a moderate defensive performance in their recent home games, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. With Arsenal scoring an average of 1.6 goals per away game, it is likely that the goal total will be higher than 2.5.
3. Atalanta Bergamo’s home match history shows a strong trend towards high scoring. Of the last 5 matches provided, all have had over 2.5 goals scored.
Bet on the exact score
Atalanta Bergame 2-1 Arsenal
1. Atalanta Bergamo have an average of 1.6 goals scored per game at home and Arsenal also have an average of 1.6 goals scored away from home in their last 5 games. This shows an attacking ability from both teams that could perfectly fit the 2-1 prediction.
2. Looking at the defensive performances of both teams, Atalanta concedes an average of 2 goals per game at home, which shows some vulnerability in their defense that could allow Arsenal to score. Furthermore, Arsenal have a poor defensive performance away from home with an average of 0.2 goals conceded per game, which could translate into one or two goals conceded to Atalanta.
3. Looking at the previous matches of both teams, Atalanta has often scored more than 2 goals at home while Arsenal has always managed to score at least one goal away. This trend strengthens the prediction of 2-1 in favor of Atalanta.
Match analysis and key facts
Team shape
Atalanta Bergamo have won 80% of their last 5 home games, scoring 15 goals in total. Although defensively, their home efficiency is questionable with 15 goals conceded. Arsenal, on the road, have also managed to win 80% of their games, scoring 8 times, while defending better with only 10 goals conceded.
On average, Atalanta scores 1.6 goals and concedes 2 goals per game at home. Their offense and defense have an efficiency of around 57% and 71% respectively. In the away half, Arsenal also scores 1.6 goals on average and concedes few goals (0.2) away. They have an offensive performance of 57% and an impressive defensive performance of 7%.
Although the numbers indicate an even performance from both sides, Arsenal have a higher probability of winning at 51.78%, with Atalanta trailing at 26.9%. The odds of a draw are 21.32%.
Thinking about over 1.5 goals in the match is promising with a probability of 81.73%. While the prediction for over 2.5 goals is at 60.41%.
The statistic indicating that both teams will score is 62.44%.
So, based on these percentages, a bet on an Arsenal win with over 1.5 goals in the match seems like a reasonable option.
The number of potential goals
Atalanta Bergamo have a strong home record, with 80% wins in their last 5 games and no losses. On home soil, the team scores an average of 1.6 goals per game but their defense leaves something to be desired with an average of 2 goals conceded. This suggests an attacking will but a lack of efficiency in defense.
Arsenal, for their part, have shown defensive solidity in their last 5 away games. The Gunners have won 80% of their matches, conceded very few goals (0.2 on average) and have also scored 1.6 goals per game.
The odds of winning give Arsenal an advantage with a 51.78% chance of winning. A draw or Arsenal win is the most likely scenario with a probability of 73.1%.
According to the data, this match could be rich in goals. The odds are strongly in favor of over 1.5 goals in the match (81.73%), and over 2.5 goals (60.41%). Both teams have a 62.44% probability of scoring in the match.
Based on this information, Arsenal seem to have a slight advantage, but Atalanta can surprise due to their strong attacking potential at home.
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Our conclusions and prediction for this match
In conclusion, the analyzed data suggests a high probability of an Arsenal victory in the match against Atalanta Bergamo. Arsenal’s solid defensive performance, combined with Atalanta’s slight vulnerability at home, could be determining factors. However, considering the attacking tendencies of these two teams, we could expect a match marked by more than 2.5 goals, and it is very likely that each team will score at least once.
That said, sports betting always involves a level of uncertainty and nothing is set in stone. While Arsenal appear to be the favorites based on the betting odds and recent performances, Atalanta Bergamo could capitalize on their strong home attacking record to turn the tables. As always, it is recommended to bet responsibly.
