The Head of State is experiencing his worst historical ranking in the Ifop-Fiducial personality barometer for Paris Match and Sud Radio. When François Bayrou and his predecessors do better than resist.
Where will the fall in popularity of the President of the Republic end? Seven months after the dissolution, Emmanuel Macron is still paying for his decision – he has also outlined a mea culpa in recent weeks – as well as the political crisis that resulted from it and the feeling of instability that it powerfully instilled. Falling to forty-sixth position, with 27% favorable opinions, the Head of State is experiencing his worst ranking since his entry into the barometer of political figures Ifop-Fiducial for Paris Match and Sud Radio, and a fortiori since his accession to the Élysée almost eight years ago. We have to go back to December 2018, in the midst of the yellow vest crisis, to record a lower opinion rating (26%). But the entire political class was then discredited, and the president was in twenty-ninth position.
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Last September, once the Paris Olympic Games had passed, it had already fallen to forty-fourth place, with 31% favorable opinions. “This is the observation of a strong and lasting disaffection,” explains Hugo Lasserre, head of the Opinion group at Ifop. Emmanuel Macron always centralizes the resentment of the French on his person. Its former Prime Ministers (apart from Élisabeth Borne) monopolize the first places in the ranking, close to or exceeding 50% of favorable opinions, although they are rather discreet on the national political scene, knowingly controlling their public expression. “There is a premium on discretion in a very tense context,” adds the pollster.
Bayrou floats
The other head of the executive, François Bayrou, is also afloat, ranking fifth (+ 1 point). The sequence linked to the motion of censure which he was able to avoid by making concessions to the socialists is rather profitable for him, while it does not benefit the tenors of the PS – Olivier Faure is stable and François Hollande loses four points. The leaders of La France insoumise, fierce supporters of government censorship, are also losing ground in the battle. In detail, François Bayrou is better perceived by French people over 35, employees, retirees and right-wing supporters (more than one in two have a favorable opinion, compared to four left-wing supporters in ten). For comparison, a little more than a month after their appointment, his predecessors Gabriel Attal and Michel Barnier had 53% and 50% favorable opinions. But the hardest part begins for the Palois: to endure and reform without (too) displeasing.
-After long months of political crisis, a return to a form of stability seems to be demanded by a majority of the population, who do not, however, place blind trust in the government, far from it. Of the ten ministers tested by Ifop, only two (Bruno Retailleau and Rachida Dati) are making progress.
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