Premier League Predictions & best bets: Ruben Amorim’s party to be spoiled by Ipswich on Super Sunday | Football News

Our Football betting expert Jones Knows is back to provide more Premier League insight ahead of Super Sunday.

Southampton vs Liverpool, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

Southampton remain like a bad Christmas present. They go to pieces in the box.

The middle bit is quite attractive and you can see what Russell Martin is trying to achieve but in key moments in matches, in key areas of the pitch, the Saints remain a feeble outfit.

Liverpool are bound to punish that soft underbelly at various moments in this match, most likely from set pieces where Southampton are dreadful at defending their box.

They have conceded seven goals from set pieces this season to a backdrop of 7.28 worth of expected goals so the numbers do add up. Strangely, Arne Slot’s team have actually struggled to create many moments from their attacking set plays, registering just 29 shots – the fewest of any team from such situations this season.

Nevertheless, in Virgil van Dijk they have an aerial dual-winning maestro who ranks third in first contacts from attacking corners this season (7) – only James Tarkowski and Gabriel have won more.

Van Dijk has scored two headers this season already and a third might be on the way with Sky Bet dangling 14/1 about the prospect.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2

Ipswich vs Manchester United, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6!

If past trends are anything to go by Ruben Amorim’s first game in charge could be a forgettable and low-scoring one.

But that’s fine if we’re nicking some profit from it.

On the last 11 occasions a ‘big six’ team have appointed a permanent manager during a season, that manager’s first game usually is a low-scoring one as he gets to grips with his new players.

It’s relevant from a betting perspective that eight of those 11 matches have gone under 2.5 goals.

Jurgen Klopp’s first game for Liverpool ended 0-0 at Spurs, Mikel Arteta opened with a 1-1 at Bournemouth, Thomas Tuchel oversaw a 0-0 draw with Wolves on his bow as Chelsea boss and Antonio Conte started with a 0-0 draw for Spurs at Everton.

These results do point towards a new manager coming in and keeping things very simple for his first game.

And the new man is inheriting a very tame Manchester United attack that have scored just 18 goals in their last 16 Premier League games – that’s an average of 1.13 goals per game. Of ever-present Premier League teams during that time, only Everton are averaging fewer goals per game.

The under 2.5 goals angle rates as a juicy bet to attack at 11/8 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Under 2.5 goals (11/8 with Sky Bet)

Newcastle vs West Ham, Monday 8pm, live on Sky Sports

What are West Ham under Julen Lopetegui?

It looks like David Moyes football without the swashbuckling counter-attack style that led the club to some special places under his watch. Lopetegui’s appointment is turning into one of the big mistakes of the summer.

On the road in 2024, West Ham’s defence have conceded 35 goals in 14 games in the Premier League – that’s an average of 2.5 goals per game and is the worst record of any ever-present Premier League team in that time. I’m fully expecting Newcastle to fill their boots here.

And, Joe Willock looks overpriced to get a goal. His goalscoring threat always remains underrated by the markets.

Since coming back into the team three games ago, he’s had seven of Newcastle’s 34 shots, meaning he’s been responsible for 21 per cent of all their shot output. I’m expecting him to be to the fore yet again in a game where Newcastle are going to see lots of territory. The 4/1 on him scoring anytime with Sky Bet is a runner.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

Jones Knows’ best bets…