Bheki has clearly weakened. It is at the filling depression stage that the system passes south of Reunion this Thursday, November 21, 2024. At 10 a.m., it was 170 km from the Reunion side. It causes “a slight deterioration in the weather, without significant effects for the island” indicates Météo France. Meteorologists have, however, issued a yellow wave-submersion warning for the east, south-east and south of Reunion and a yellow strong wind warning for the west and east of the island from 9 a.m. (Photo sly/ www.imazpress.com)
Bheki is therefore no longer a cyclone or even a storm. It is “a rather weakened system which should circulate near the Grandes Mascareignes archipelago (Mauritius and Reunion) on a trajectory oriented towards the west-southwest” indicates Météo France.
“A very moderate influence of the system is expected on the island until Friday,” add the meteorologists.
– A gloomy and rainy day in the wake of Bheki –
The most degraded conditions associated with the system will be concentrated in its southern and eastern part.
If “the system arrives in a relatively weakened manner on Reunion, this does not prevent having degraded weather and a relatively gloomy and rainy day on the southern half, that is to say south of a Saint-Leu line / Cilaos / Sainte-Rose”, detail the forecasts.
The volcano massif and the Tévelave sector receive the most water. Elsewhere, “over a small northern half, the sky will remain less threatening and sometimes bright, with a feeling of humidity on the side of the northern coast sheltered from the wind”.
Read also: Bheki has weakened, a worsening of the weather expected in Reunion
Over the following days, Bheki should evacuate towards the South as it continues to weaken.
– Bheki causes swell in Reunion –
In the west and east, gusts of around 80 km/h, sometimes even a little more near Gros Piton Sainte-Rose, are expected.
Last impacting element: “a strongly degraded sea state from Cap Chevron to Champ Borne, via Pointe de la Tables, under the effect of an easterly swell which sometimes rises to around 4 meters until the evening , giving very heavy seas” warns Météo France.
– Mauritius still on alert for strong swells –
Although Bheki reached the intense cyclone stage on November 17, the system did not benefit from conditions favorable to its maintenance. Reunion therefore remains largely spared, with an extremely moderate effect on climatic conditions.
A warning of heavy swell and heavy rain still concerns Mauritius.
– Bheki, a filling depression –
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 65 km/h.
Maximum gusts estimated at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated pressure at center: 1004 hPa.
Position on November 21 at 4 a.m. local time: 20.1 South / 58.7 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 315 km to the sector: east-north-east
Distance from Mayotte: 1650 km to sector: east-southeast
Movement: west-southwest, at 19 km/h.
– Bheki's intensities and positions in the coming days –
Depression filling
Center positioned on 11/23 at 10 a.m. local, at 24.1 South / 52.6 East.
Depression filling
Center positioned on 11/23 at 4 a.m. local time, at 24.2 South / 52.4 East.
Depression filling
Center positioned on 11/24 at 10 a.m. local, at 26.6 South / 52.2 East.
In addition, in the extreme northeast of the basin, a new tropical storm could form at the end of the week or more probably at the beginning of next week: the risk of cyclogenesis is low on Saturday (10 to 30%) then becomes moderate from Monday (30-60%).
– 4 to 7 cyclones could form in the area –
The 2024-2025 cyclone season should be characterized by activity close to or above normal across the cyclone basin in the South-West Indian Ocean, Météo France announces.
Read also – Ten months after Belal, Reunion is preparing for the risks of tomorrow
The weather center estimates that between 9 and 13 systems (storms and cyclones) could develop, with 4 to 7 of them reaching tropical cyclone stage.
The list of names of cyclones : Ancha, Bheki, Chido, Dikeledi, Elvis, Faida, Garance, Honde, Ivone, Jude, Kanto, Lira, Maipelo, Njazi, Oscar, Pamela, Quentin, Rajab, Savana, Themba, Uyapo, Viviane , Walter, Xangy, Yemurai, Zanele.
Read also – Ancha, Elvis, Kanto… or even Zanele: the names of the cyclones for the 2024-2025 season revealed
For the CMRS of Météo France Réunion (MFR) the cyclone season began on November 15, 2024 and ended on April 30, 2025 with an exception for Mauritius and the Seychelles whose end date of the cyclone season is set for May 15 2025.
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Bheki, Depression, Hurricane season
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