Netherlands vs. Hungary tip, forecast odds 11/16/24 betting base

At first glance, the Netherlands and Hungary – we provide a tip for this eagerly awaited duel in this article – are level in Group A3 of the UEFA Nations League 2024/25 with exactly five points. However, a second look reveals the big differences. While Elftal started with a win, remained unbeaten in two more draws and then lost for the first time on matchday 4, Magyarok suffered a defeat on matchday 1 before two draws in the last match were followed by their first win.

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The momentum clearly speaks in favor of the guests, who also know very well how to crack big nations away from home. In 2022/23, Hungary celebrated victories in England (4-0) and Germany (1-0) in the Nations League. Against this background, the forecast for the supposed outsiders in the Netherlands against Hungary, who already seemed very close to victory in the first leg against Oranje, is extremely interesting.

Netherlands – Hungary odds | 3 top tips

The direct comparison and the star power in the team may fundamentally speak for the Elftal In three seasons in League A of the Nations League, they have never finished worse than second and has already qualified for the Final Four tournament twice. We still give the Magyarok a 20 to 25 percent chance of winning in this duel, which means that the outsider bet gives us an absolute value tip that is convincing from a mathematical point of view alone.

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Netherlands – Statistics & current form

The Dutch national football team has continued to eagerly await another major title since winning the 1988 European Championship in Germany. The Elftal failed four times in the semi-finals of the last nine European Championships. In 2010, Oranje also missed out on their first World Cup title in the third World Cup final in the association’s history.

The Dutch were also unlucky in the UEFA Nations League, which was newly introduced for the 2018/19 season. They made it to the Final Four tournament twice. In 2019, however, the final was against Portugal, before not only the semi-finals but also the game for third place were lost in their own country in 2023.

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Netherlands with longest winless streak in four years

Now, in theory, the Elftal could end up worse than second in League A of the UEFA Nations League for the first time if the Magyarok’s away win in the Netherlands against Hungary is tipped. At least the latest balance sheet speaks for this.

Bond coach Ronald Koeman’s team stayed for the first time since autumn 2020 without a win in three consecutive international matches (two draws, one defeat) and in the first leg in Budapest they couldn’t get beyond a 1-1 draw against Magyarok.

It hasn’t been a clean slate for a long time

What is particularly striking is that the Netherlands have not kept a clean slate in any of the last six international matches. Overall, the Elftal only kept a clean sheet twice in the last ten games. If the important home win against Magyarok is to succeed, not only must defensive stability improve, but offensive penetration must also increase again.

For the first time after seven international matches in a row in which Oranje always scored at least one goal, the number eight in the FIFA world rankings finally failed to score for the first time in their most recent away game in Germany (0-0).

Expected lineup of Netherlands:
Verbruggen – Frimpong, van Dijk, de Vrij, Dumfries – Timber, Gravenberch – Gakpo, Reijnders, Simons – Weghorst

Injured and suspended players from Netherlands:

Last games of Netherlands:

Hungary – Statistics & Current Form

The Hungarian national football team has gradually returned from obscurity after several decades of failure in the recent past. The Magyarok were able to qualify for the European Championship finals three times in a row.

In the Nations League, the team, which only started in the third-tier League C in 2018/19, managed two promotions in a row before Hungary also caused a sensation in their debut season in League A. Also because of the aforementioned victories in England (4:0) and Germany (1:0), Marco Rossi’s selection led the table with one match day to go before losing their place in the Final Four with a 1:2 in Italy became.

Hungary travels to Amsterdam as the clear underdog

Now the Magyarok want to qualify for the final round for the first time, for which second place would be enough this time. But it is clear that this will require victory in Amsterdam, where they played in their last guest appearance to date as part of the 2014 World Cup qualification one of the four biggest defeats in the association’s history gab (1:8).

Not least because of this, the odds from the top bookmakers clearly speak against the selection of Marco Rossi for the Netherlands against Hungary. The Bet365 app, for example, brings to light quotes of 8.50 for tip 2, which clearly underline the Hungarians’ role as outsiders.

Hungary recently with compact defensive performances

And yet the Magyarok proved in their last international match against Bosnia and Herzegovina that they always perform courageously, especially away from home (2-0). In the first leg they also led for a long time against the Netherlands, who only managed to equalize in the 83rd minute when they were outnumbered.

With superstars like Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool), Willi Orbán (RB Leipzig) and Roland Sallai (Galatasaray), Marco Rossi also has a lot of quality in his squad, which is also considered to be a tight-knit squad. If the Magyarok bring the necessary compactness onto the field again, which resulted in only one goal conceded in the last three international matches, the surprise could really succeed.

Expected line-up of Hungary:
Dibusz – Z. Nagy, Fiola, Orbán, Botka, Bolla – Schäfer, Nikitscher – Szoboszlai, Varga, Sallai

Injured and suspended players from Hungary:

Last games of Hungary:

Our Netherlands – Hungary tip in the odds comparison November 16th, 2024 – 1/X/2

Netherlands – Hungary Direct comparison / H2H balance

Head to head: 10 – 3 – 5

There have been 18 international matches between the two nations so far and with ten wins, Elftal clearly leads the direct comparison. In the first leg, however, both teams played in a 1-1 draw in Budapest. However, the Magyarok don’t have any good memories of their last guest appearance in Amsterdam. In the 2014 World Cup qualifying, Hungary suffered an 8-1 defeat here – one of the four biggest defeats in the Hungarian association’s history.

Statistics highlights for Netherlands versus Hungary

Betting base forecast & Netherlands – Hungary Tipp

For our taste, the betting odds for the Netherlands against Hungary are far too clear in the direction of Elftal, which purely on paper should have what it takes to defeat the Hungarian selection. The latest results show that the Magyarok should not be underestimated. The Hungarians only celebrated in the 2022/23 Nations League Not only a 4-0 away win in England, but also a 1-0 win in Germany. Another strong away performance from Marco Rossi’s team is by no means ruled out.

Key facts – Netherlands vs. Hungary tip

• In the first leg in Budapest, the Netherlands and Hungary played out a 1-1 draw
• Netherlands have not won any of their last three games in the Nations League Gurppe A3 (two draws, one defeat)
• Hungary recently remained unbeaten three times in a row (one win, two draws)

We give the Hungarians a chance of winning at least 20 percent. Because odds of 8.50 are advertised for tip 2 in the Netherlands against Hungary, which promises a positive expected value even with a twelve percent probability of occurrencethis outsider bet is also an absolute value tip.

For the Netherlands against Hungary, we therefore recommend the prediction of Magyarok’s victory in Amsterdam, which we are alluding to at Bet365 at odds of 8.50 with two units. Reference should also be made to the current Bet365 promotional code, which we deal with in more detail in the linked article.

Odds probabilities for win Netherlands / draw / win Hungary: