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American presidential election 2024: on D-1 of the vote, which are these two key states which could swing the results

Everything could be decided in Pennsylvania and Nevada where the two candidates have less than a point difference in the polls this Monday at 3 p.m.

On D-1 of the American presidential election, neither current Vice-President Kamala Harris nor former President Donald Trump really stands out in the polls.

If some of the 50 American territories are considered acquired by one or the other, a dozen states are usually the epicenter of very close results. These are the “swing states”, those states where neither of the two major American parties, the Democratic Party and the Republican Party, systematically wins, but which can tilt the final result.

Seven key states are particularly scrutinized for this year's elections: Arizona (11 electors), Pennsylvania (19), Nevada (6), Wisconsin (10), North Carolina (16), Michigan (15) and Georgia (16).

Latest polls

According to the latest FiveThirtEight polls this Monday, November 4 at 3 p.m., it is Harris who comes out on top in the national polls by 0.9 points over her rival, although the outcome of the elections will be decided in the pivotal states.

Kamala Harris would thus be leading in Michigan and Wisconsin with a lead of 0.8 points over Trump.

The Republican candidate would be preferred in Arizona where he is 2.5 points ahead of the Democrat, in Georgia with 1.2 points, and in North Carolina with 1.2 points.

This leaves Pennsylvania and Nevada where voting intentions promise very close results, with a difference of 0.2 and 0.6 points respectively. The candidates play their last cards this Monday.

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