Our football prediction expert gives you his best bets for Italy Belgium, counting for the 3rd day of Group 2 of League A, this Thursday evening.
Italy Belgium prediction: bets, context and compositions
Best bets for Italy Belgium: odds and odds
- Both teams score ⭐ with odds of @1.69 on Unibet, corresponding to a probability of 59% that both teams score.
- Mateo Retegui scorer ⭐ with odds of @2.95 on Unibet, indicating a probability of 33% that the Italian striker finds the net.
- Italy or draw and less than 3.5 goals in the match ⭐ with odds of @1.59 on Unibet, representing a probability of 62% that Italy does not lose and that less than three goals are scored during the match.
A 1-1 draw between Italy and Belgium is expected.
Odds are provided by Unibet at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Our analysis: the state of form of the two teams
This Thursday, the legendary Stadio Olimpico in Rome will be the scene of a crucial Nations League A meeting between Italy and Belgium. As these two teams ranked in the top 10 of the FIFA rankings prepare for their third group match, a lot is at stake for both sides.
The Azzurri head into this match with confidence, leading their group with six points secured from two resounding victories, with Italy having got their Nations League campaign off to a good start.
The Belgian team, under the leadership of Domenico Tedesco, is in a transition phase following their elimination in the round of 16 at Euro 2024. This has led to promising performances but also setbacks, as evidenced by their recent 0-2 defeat against a better organized French team.
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Probable squad numbers for Italy Belgium
The probable composition of Italy:
Donnarumma ; Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Calafiori; Cambiaso, Frattesi, Tonali, Ricci, Dimarco; Raspadori, Retegui.
Players absent: Stretcher ; KeanJorginho ; Locatelli, Church.
The probable composition of Belgium:
Castles ; Castagne, Faes, Debast, Theate ; Tielemans, Onana ; Lukebachio, De Ketelaere, Docu ; Openda.
Players absent: Love ; of Bruyne ; That ‘s right ; Meunier.
The best bets to take for Italy Belgium
Our safety prediction: Italy vs Belgium 1 prediction: Both teams score @1.69 on Unibet
Victories against France and Israel not only highlighted Italy’s footballing talent, but also reignited the national dream of winning a Nations League title, a feat which has eluded them despite their last two finals appearances .
Under the leadership of Luciano Spalletti, Italy is becoming a strong team, characterized by a mixture of youthful energy and experience.
With a well-balanced team, Italy’s strength lies in their defensive solidity, having conceded only two goals so far, coupled with an efficient attack having scored five goals.
The Azzurri, unbeaten in their last five home games, will rely on the advantage of playing in Rome and a well-established tactical system to face a Belgian team looking for stability. Tedesco’s men have only beaten Montenegro, Luxembourg, Romania and Israel in their last 10 matches, with just five clean sheets.
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Our scorer prediction: Italy vs Belgium 2 prediction – Mateo Retegui scorer @2.95 on Unibet
Much of Italy’s attacking hopes will rest on Mateo Retegui.
The Italian-Argentinian striker has been in sparkling form for his club Atalanta, having recently scored a hat-trick, underlining his growing goalscoring status.
With four goals in 14 appearances for the national team, Retegui is keen to add to his tally and has proven he can be the focal point of Spalletti’s attacking philosophy.
Italy’s tactical rigor, honed under Spalletti’s meticulous guidance, will be crucial against a Belgian team traditionally renowned for its attacking play.
Playing in front of a passionate crowd at the Stadio Olimpico could give Italy that extra edge in what promises to be a hard-fought showdown.
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Our key prediction: Italy vs Belgium 3 prediction – Italy or draw and less than 3.5 goals in the match @1.59 on Unibet
Spalletti is expected to field a 3-5-2, relying on Italy’s balanced midfield and the keen attacking instincts of Retegui and Giacomo Raspadori. The absence of Nicolo Barella due to injury is a blow, but versatile player Samuele Ricci is expected to take over in the middle.
On the other hand, Tedesco will have to deal with the notable absences of Kevin De Bruyne (40 goals and 49 assists with Belgium) and Romelu Lukaku (all-time top scorer with 85 goals).
Tedesco will rely on emerging players like Charles De Ketelaere (one goal and one assist with Atalanta) and Loïs Openda (four Bundesliga goals and one assist) to fill the creative void.
For the visitors, finding the right balance between offensive creativity and defensive solidity will be crucial.
As they travel to Rome, the Belgians know that a victory would significantly strengthen their position in the group and keep them in the race for qualification.
Historically, Italy dominates the confrontations between these two teams. Out of 24 matches, Italy has 16 victories against 4 for Belgium, with 4 draws.
Most recently, Italy have won four of the last five meetings, making them favorites.
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