here are the regions where the snowflakes could fall

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Déjà the return of the snow ? It’s a scenario that seems to be taking shape more and more, in any case. Already this Monday, December 2, 2024, actu.fr warned of a good cold snap coming this weekend, and early next week. And snowflakes could indeed fall on part of the territory.

Showers in the form of sleet and sleet

In fact, “it is a maritime polar air which descends via the North Sea and the Norwegian Sea, which will bring showers and unstable weather”, analyzes Guillaume Séchet, meteorologist and founder of the site Météo-villes.com, attached by actu.fr.

This will start this Saturday, December 7 and get worse on Sunday. With showers which may fall in the form of sleet and sleet. But nothing to do with the heavy snowfall two weeks ago (on November 20, the Caetano storm caused heavy snowfall in the northern half of France, editor's note).

In detail, the snowfall will affect the northern half of the territory, “especially towards the north and the east, but less towards the Atlantic, Brittany like the last episode in mid-November”, we slips the specialist. The Mediterranean will not be affected either.

“Possible” that the snow sticks to the ground

But will these light snowfalls cause concern for motorists, or cause damage (and allow children to make snowmen)?

Some snow showers may stick to the ground in the north, east, and continental areas. There is also a little uncertainty for Saturday: according to certain weather models, there might be a depression over the northeast, and that's where we could have more heavy snow.

Good news for the reliefs, because a few days before the opening of many ski resorts, there should be “ quite a bit of snow in the mountains this weekend, with cold air at altitude.”

On the other hand, no mystery, Saturday and Sunday, “it will still be cold, because the air will be maritime. But nothing more. We are not going to experience a real cold snap,” anticipates Guillaume Séchet. And for good reason, it will be 4 degrees on average in many regions of north-eastern France, and between 5 and 7 degrees when we move towards Île-de-France and Brittany.

What the weather models say

Obviously, the deadline is still quite far away, it is difficult to make detailed forecasts on the phenomenon. However, depending on the weather models, a large part of the territory could be affected by a few snowflakes.

In our maps below, you will see the amount of snow expected between Saturday and Monday (a 6 hour delta separates each map).

According to the European ECMWF model, a light snow cover could cover part of the northern half, and could be more substantial in the Grand Est.

According to the Swiss model, snow is expected locally in Île-de-France and in the center of the country, and in greater quantities in Lorraine.

Forecasts shared by the American GFS model, which anticipates heavy snowfall in the Massif Central.

The German Icon model is much more cautious, which predicts a few flakes over an eastern half.

Colder weather next week

To see if this phenomenon can last. At the start of next week, the air will be more continental. And therefore drier and colder.

“The wind will gradually shift towards the northeast, we could have residual snow showers from eastern to central regions. But it will be colder. We could have frosts at night and temperatures which could drop below 5 degrees in the afternoon“, explains the specialist from Météo-villes.com.

More stable weather should then return on Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, although for the moment, the outcome is uncertain.

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