Up and down, down and up.
We invite you to watch, or not, the thermal projections and consequently what could happen at the weather-climatic level in our country.
When? Starting in the next few hours.
Yes, because there is a risk of an impressive thermal swing, or a nice headache in trying to interpret certain scenarios. The question is: what will happen after the Arctic blast? Well, let’s start with the assumption that all international calculation centers offer us the solution called “Anticyclone.” Starting from Sunday, in fact, atmospheric stability should return and temperatures should start to rise again. A significant rise, especially in the maximum values.
A rise that should lead, in some cases, to values above the seasonal averages.
Not the minimums, which on the contrary will take advantage of the previous intrusion and anticyclonic inversions to drop down.
This means that there could be significant frosts, but also thick fog banks. The aftermath, however, is a puzzle.
A real conundrum, no doubt about it, in fact, the modeling projections we usually analyze are not at all aligned.
This means that to answer that question, we will need to be patient, but in the meantime, we want to inform you about the hypotheses on the table. The first, the American one, considers the persistence of good weather, therefore the insistence of the usual Subtropical Anticyclone.
Would there be anything strange? Not at all, by now we should be used to that kind of scenario.
If it weren’t for the fact that we will be at the end of November, therefore on the verge of the meteorological winter. The other scenario, hypothesized by the Europeans, would see a new anticyclonic surge towards the British Isles and a consequent slide of cold air over Eastern Europe.
From there, then, the cold could extend over the Mediterranean and in that case, it would come from the east, hitting the eastern sectors of the Boot more, as well as the South Center. This hypothesis could also hold surprises in terms of snowfall, and when we talk about surprises, we obviously refer to the plains and hills, but who knows, there might even be something on the Adriatic coasts. Who will be right? Well, considering that the reliability of European projections is proving more effective – for example, even for the imminent Arctic intrusion – we believe that the hypothesis of cold reiteration is not so far-fetched.
But we will have to wait, wait for the modeling alignment.
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