There are currently persistent rumors that Domenico Tedesco has fallen out of favor with the Belgian association and the national players. Although such reports have now been denied, it still has The German-Italian’s standing has suffered greatly in the last few weeks and months. The fact is that the fans of the 2018 World Cup third-placed team were already calling for the former Leipzig player to resign at the last home game. The signs before the penultimate group game on Thursday evening could definitely be better and logically also influence the Belgium vs. Italy tip on the outcome of the game.
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From a purely sporting perspective, the “Red Devils” no longer have a chance of taking one of the first two places in Group A of Division 2 on their own. Although you definitely need help, you obviously want it Mini hope for the quarterfinals keep alive. The prerequisite for this is that a prediction of a home win between Belgium and Italy pays off. Any other result would have left us heading for the round of the last eight.
Belgium – Italy odds | 4 top tips
Betting odds as of: November 12th, 2024, 11:50
The situation is much more relaxed for the “Squadra Azzurra”, which has played a strong NL preliminary round so far and even has a good chance of securing a place in the knockout round as group winners. Because the Spalletti’s team has shown great enthusiasm so far and the home side, as mentioned, have to play for a win, it might be interesting to consider the odds on over goals in the run-up to the match between Belgium and Italy. You can find a huge range of over/under bets at the betting provider Merkur Bets, which also offers an attractive welcome bonus for new customers. You can find important information about registering with Merkur Bets in the linked article.
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Belgium – Statistics & Current Form
At 39 years old, Domenico Tedesco still belongs to the generation of young coaches. It remains to be seen whether the former Schalke and Leipzig head coach did himself a lasting favor by moving to the Belgian national team. After a promising start to his term in office, his team’s form has recently shown a noticeable downward trend, which has also put a strain on Tedesco’s reputation with the association and the fans.
First and foremost, the football teacher is accused of having turned top performers such as Courtois and De Bruyne against him. Both stars are no longer part of the Belgian selection. Apart from that, the recent results also left a lot to be desired. After disappointing performances, the “Red Devils” were eliminated from the European Championship in the round of 16 and also in Group 2 of the UEFA Nations League The sixth in the world rankings has so far fallen short of expectations back.
Only a threesome will help Belgium
Two defeats against France, a draw in Italy and a befitting triumph against Israel resulted in four points. The gap to the second-placed team is still five points. The Italians, as group leaders, have even managed to get within six points. However, there is still a real chance of moving forward. In the event of a successful Belgium vs. Italy forecast for the home win on Thursday as well as a defeat for the Italians on the last match day at home against France and their own success in the parallel game against Israel, the Tedesco team would still overtake the “Squadra Azzurra”.
Anyone who believes in a home success for Openda and Co. will find a maximum odds of 2.49 at Intertops and can play this without much risk with the €5 Intertops free bet. However, in my opinion it makes more sense to look at betting on over goals. They fell in four NL group games with Belgian participation 13 hits so far. In both home games the over 2.5 would have passed. The home side have to play to win and will therefore pursue an offensive approach, but at the same time they will also show deficiencies in defense. The “Red Devils” recently conceded exactly two goals three times in a row.
Expected line-up for Belgium:
Casteels – Cuyper, Theate, Faes, Castagne – Onana, Engels, Mangala – Openda, Lukaku, Lukebakio
Injured and suspended players from Belgium:
Last games of Belgium:
Italy – Statistics & Current Form
After the messed up European Championship, there was a lot of open-ended discussion at the Italian association. A large part of the Tifosi demanded that national coach Luciano Spalletti be released as a consequence for the round of 16 exit at EURO 2024. However, those responsible decided to stay, which was rather unpopular in the football business, and thus decided on continuity. Although only five months have passed since the European Championship finals in Germany, the mood of the former world and European champions has changed significantly.
Italy is brimming with joy after the European Championships
The Italian national team has certainly been one of the positive surprises in Division A of the UEFA Nations League so far. In a group with France, Belgium and Israel, only the boldest optimists would probably be able to start with the “Squadra Azzurra”. ten points from the first four matches trusted. With the exception of the 2-2 draw in the first leg at home against Belgium, the remaining matches were all won.
The lead over the closest rival from France is therefore one point. Regardless of how the away game ends on Thursday evening in Brussels, the Italians will definitely have a final for group victory on Sunday evening at San Siro. However, whether it is also a question of not being passed through to third place will be decided on the fifth matchday in the King Baudouin Stadium. A A draw will be the minimum goal of the Spalletti teamalthough the changed, bolder approach under the ex-Napoli master coach does not include potential results management.
I therefore expect a lively performance from the guests, although they will have to do without their supposed best defender Calafiori due to an injury. Nevertheless, I trust “La Nazionale” to get a good result and, above all, score the first goal of the game again. The world number nine took a 1-0 lead in all four games; The over 2.5 would always have passed. Between Belgium and Italy, the odds for the corresponding bets in the best sports betting apps bring attractive value.
Expected lineup of Italy:
Donnarumma – Bastoni, Buongiorno, Lorenzo – Di Marco, Tonali, Barella, Frattesi, Cambiaso – Raspadori – Retegui
Injured and suspended players from Italy:
Last games of Italy:
Our Belgium – Italy tip in the odds comparison November 14th, 2024 – Over/Under
Belgium – Italy direct comparison / H2H balance
To date there have been 25 meetings between these selection teams. With 16 wins, five draws and only four defeats, the Italians clearly lead the direct comparison. The first leg at the Olympic Stadium in Rome ended in a 2-2 draw. Cambiaso gave the “Gli Azzurri” a 1-0 lead. Retegui made it 2-0. But because Pellegrini was then sent off, the Belgians scored two more goals in just under 60 minutes to make the final score. If the Italians manage to win from start to finish this time, betting odds of 4.75 between Belgium and Italy could be picked up in the Bet365 app.
Statistics highlights for Belgium against Italy
Betting base forecast & Belgium – Italy Tipp
One of the absolute highlight games on matchday 5 of the UEFA Nations League takes place on Thursday evening in Brussels. In Group 2 the Belgians and the Italians will meet. Both selection teams have had a sobering European Championship behind them and had therefore actually set themselves the goal of causing a sensation in the Nations League.
The “Squadra Azzurra” has so far succeeded much better than the “Red Devils”. The Spalletti team already has ten points, while the Belgians only have an outside chance of progressing with four points. By the way, betting base author Christian Feuring has put together outsider tips for the Nations League for you.
Key facts – Belgium vs. Italy tip
- Belgium must win to keep their chance of reaching the quarter-finals
- The Italians have already scored 16 goals in four NL games
- The first leg in Rome ended in a 2-2 draw
The starting position before the direct duel is clear: Belgium needs a win; Italy wants to secure a good starting position for the final showdown against France. I therefore expect this game to be quite lively. Over-goals are obvious, especially since the “Gli Azzurri” have already scored 16 (!) goals in four NL matches and the Belgians have also exceeded the average of three goals per match. My tendency is therefore between Belgium and Italy Bet on over 2.5 goals. I recommend the 1.90 at Merkur Bets with six out of a possible ten units.
Odds probabilities for win Belgium / draw / win Italy:
Over 2.5 goals: 1.92 @Bet365
Under 2.5 goals: 1.82 @Bet365
Both teams score
AND: 1.69 @Bet365
NO: 2.00 @Bet365
Betting odds as of: November 12th, 2024, 11:51
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