Pennsylvania grants 19 electoral votes to the winning candidate. A significant advantage in the race for the White House. A look back at the electoral habits of this “swing state”.
Find the latest trends and polls on the American election
The winning candidate in the state of Pennsylvania will be granted no fewer than 19 electoral votes. An impressive windfall that the two candidates for the presidential election, Kamala Harris for the Democratic camp and Donald Trump, the Republican, do not want to miss. The result will be extremely close in this swing state, in other words, a state in which the results are uncertain and swing to the right or left depending on the votes. Nationally, the Democratic candidate is currently in the lead with 48.3% of voting intentions, one point ahead of her Republican competitor, Donald Trump, credited with 47.3% of voting intentions according to 270towin. On the other hand, the trend is quite different in Pennsylvania less than a month before the election. The vote could be decided by a few thousand votes.
What do the polls say between Trump and Harris in Pennsylvania?
If there is one state in which the result of the presidential election will be close, it is in Pennsylvania. Indeed, this swing state makes it possible to win a whopping 19 electors. In other words, by winning Pennsylvania, the chances of getting to the White House instantly increase. However, the compilation of the latest surveys from 270towin (November 3) does not really allow us to see any more clearly. The two candidates are almost perfectly tied: 48.3% voting intentions for Donald Trump and 48.2% for Kamala Harris.
The latest studies compiled by the site FiveThirtyEight also estimate a very slight lead for the Republican camp candidate, still on November 3. Indeed, Donald Trump benefits from 47.9% of voting intentions, compared to 47.7% for Kamala Harris, the vice-president of the United States. Electoral trends still have time to evolve, but the match should be tense until the end to try to win the 19 electors of Pennsylvania.
Does Pennsylvania lean more Democratic or Republican?
Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. The state has participated in 59 presidential elections through 2020. Pennsylvania is generally considered to be a swing state even though it voted Democratic in the six elections preceding 2016. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%.
If a triumph in Pennsylvania is not a guarantee of final victory, it certainly puts us on the right track. Trump in 2016, Biden in 2020… Which side will Pennsylvania lean towards in 2024? The fifth most populous state in the country will allow the winning candidate to win no less than 19 electoral votes. A state in which one in eight residents is food insecure.
The Democrats could well start with a slight advantage: Joe Biden, the former presidential candidate, grew up in the working-class town of Scranton, Pennsylvania. An attribute that the latter, including Kamala Harris, should highlight. For his part, Donald Trump is sparing no effort in this state, particularly by targeting rural and working-class regions.
