Stand: 02.09.2024, 05:15 a.m.
Von: Moritz Bletzinger, Alina Schröder
PressSplit
What will the weather be like in autumn 2024? The Centennial Calendar offers a forecast with “storms and snow”, but also a change in the weather.
Kassel – In 2024, summer will be in all its glory. With temperatures around 30 degrees and bright sunshine, it will attract many people in Germany to beaches, swimming pools and ice cream parlors in August. A weather expert even predicted a heat wave at the end of August that would last eight weeks. An “omega bell” is expected to intensify the summer weather in Germany. But what does the weather forecast for autumn look like? The Centennial Calendar tries to answer this question.
What is the Centennial Calendar?
The Hundred-Year Calendar is a popular tool for weather forecasting. It was developed in the 17th century by Abbot Moriz Knauer in Upper Franconia to improve agricultural yields through precise forecasts. He based his work on the astrological assumption that various celestial bodies influence the earth’s weather at regular intervals.
Weather forecast for autumn 2024: Hundred-year calendar shows rain in September and snow in October
After a midsummer August in Germany, the Centennial Calendar predicts significantly more precipitation for September. Rainfall is expected to increase. “Only in the first half of the month are a few nice days to be expected,” says the forecast.
According to the calendar, October begins rather changeable and unstable. Everything from sunshine to frost to rain is to be expected. From the middle of the month, temperatures are expected to drop sharply: “Storms and snow will set in,” is the forecast. This is followed by rather unstable weather with a mixture of rain and snow, and the month ends cold and cloudy. This wet and cold weather is expected to continue into November, before the winter of 2024 is expected to begin “very snowy” according to the Centennial Calendar. This also corresponds to the first weather data for the cold season.
The Centennial Calendar weather forecast for autumn 2024:
- September: Pleasant and sunny days in the first half of the month, from September 18th rather unsettled with wind and rain.
- October: The month is expected to start with rather warm days, with frost possible in the morning. The first snowfall will begin in mid-October, followed by unsettled weather until November.
- November: Cold and frosty, with lots of rain. It is expected to get warmer again from November 21st.
Weather predictions of the Hundred Year Calendar are controversial
As detailed as these predictions may be, they are controversial in modern meteorology. According to the German Weather Service (DWD), “Abbot Knauer mistakenly assumed that weather conditions repeat themselves in a fixed 7-year cycle due to the influence of the seven ‘planets’ known at the time (Sun, Moon, Saturn, Jupiter, Mars, Venus, Mercury).” It may happen that “these predictions of the Hundred Year Calendar are sometimes correct.” But from a meteorological point of view, such coincidences are “purely coincidental and in no way scientifically based,” the experts emphasize.
It remains to be seen whether autumn will actually be rainy and snowy. Weather experts are predicting a golden autumn. However, more precise forecasts are only possible a few days in advance. (asc/moe)
