Sevilla Barcelona prediction 05/26/2024: Barça winner 2-0 and Lewandowski scorer

Sevilla Barcelona prediction 05/26/2024: Barça winner 2-0 and Lewandowski scorer
Sevilla Barcelona prediction 05/26/2024: Barça winner 2-0 and Lewandowski scorer

Our football prediction expert gives you his three best bets and predictions for Sevilla Barcelona, ​​counting for the 38th day of La Liga.

Seville Barcelona prediction: bets, context and lineups

The best predictions for Sevilla Barcelona

  • Barcelona win ⭐ at odds of 1.90 on Betsson, meaning a probability of 52.6% that Barça wins.
  • Robert Lewandowski scorer ⭐ at odds of 2.20 on Betsson, which means a probability of 45.5% that the Polish striker scores.
  • Barcelona win 2-0 ⭐ at odds of 12 on Betsson, meaning a probability of 8.3% that the Catalan club wins on this exact score.

Odds are provided by Betsson at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Our analysis: the state of form of the two teams

Sevilla and Barcelona have nothing to play on the last day of the season. Sevilla managed to move away from the relegation battle. Meanwhile, Barcelona’s hopes of overtaking Real Madrid for the title were dashed several weeks ago.

After three consecutive defeats, it is reasonable to question Sevilla’s motivation. They are missing several players, with Jesús Navas being the latest to join the infirmary after suffering a hamstring injury in the last match. With just six wins from their 18 home league games, it’s no surprise that Sevilla Barcelona’s odds have the home side as underdogs here. If you want to bet on La Liga this weekend, it can be difficult to assess teams that have nothing at stake, but Barcelona still found enough motivation to win three games in a row.

Since the disappointments against Real Madrid and Girona, Barcelona have shown enough promise for next season, especially after Xavi changed his decision to leave the club.

Probable lineups for Sevilla Barcelona

Sevilla’s probable XI:

Nyland; Baden, Ramos, Salas; Sanchez, Agoume, Bueno, Acuna; Ocampos, Lukebakio; En-Nesyri.

Barcelona’s probable XI:

Ter Stegen; Koundé, Cubarsi, Martinez, Cancelo; Roberto, Gundogan; Yamal, Lopez, Raphinha; Lewandowski.

When one team is on a three-game winning streak and the other is on a three-game losing streak, betting on an away win at odds of 1.87 seems obvious. Although Barcelona may not be quite at full strength, they have the majority of their key players available. Yes, the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán can be a tough place to visit, but Sevilla’s home form has been up and down this season. Barcelona have also won their last four matches against the Rojiblancos. The uncertainty of the final weekend may be reflected in the odds of 1.87. Barcelona have failed to win eight of their 18 away league games this season. Still, it seems like an obvious choice, given their head-to-head record and both teams’ form in recent weeks.

Only three teams have conceded more expected goals than Sevilla. Two of them are already relegated: Almeria and Granada. Robert Lewandowski may be fourth in the goalscoring charts, but he has recorded the second-most expected goals in La Liga this season. The former Bayern Munich striker has not scored in his last two games against Sevilla. However, he found the net in this encounter last season and has recorded 10 shots in his last two appearances against the Andalusian club. Having scored in three of his last five games, the 2.20 odds offer good value here. Lewandowski scored a hat-trick against Valencia just a few games ago, and he will be desperate to finish the season on a high, even if the Pichichi Trophy is out of reach.

We avoid the “GG” bet here. Both teams have scored in more than half of Barcelona’s La Liga games, and the same goes for Sevilla. However, Sevilla have failed to score in their last two outings, while Barcelona have kept three consecutive clean sheets. Barcelona have beaten Sevilla without conceding in four consecutive meetings. None of these matches ended 2-0, but the Catalan giants won by multiple goals on two occasions, including a 3-0 victory at Sevilla a few seasons ago. With the hosts already looking towards the summer break, Barcelona are expected to close their season with another routine victory.

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