the best and worst scenarios of the 37th day of Ligue 2

the best and worst scenarios of the 37th day of Ligue 2
the best and worst scenarios of the 37th day of Ligue 2

The 37th and penultimate day of Ligue 2 will be played in multiplex this Friday, May 10. Sixth in the standings, SM Caen is still aiming for the play-offs for accession to Ligue 1. If all hopes remain possible, the hypothesis of an early end to the season is also in the balance. Overview of possible scenarios.

At the start of the last two days of the season, Caen no longer has its destiny in its hands. The Malherbistes, 6th in the standings, are one point behind Paris FC (5th) and two behind Rodez (4th). In addition, the Norman club also has a worse goal difference than its two direct competitors preceding it (+3 for Caen, against +6 for the PFC and +9 for Rodez).

Mathematically, seven teams are still able to claim the last two tickets for the play-offs for accession to Ligue 1 with two matches remaining in the championship. Indeed, six points separate 5th, Paris, from 10th, Amiens. At the end of the 37th day, which takes place this Friday evening at 8 p.m., the number of contenders should fall by half.

Six matches concern the teams still in the running for possible play-offs for accession to Ligue 1.

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© LFP

The first team outside the Top 5, SM Caen must initially count on poor performances from Rodez and Paris FC. Because if he wins his last two matches and these two teams do the same, he will remain at the dock from May 17, the day the regular season ends.

It’s a bit of a crazy scenario, but the Ligue 2 championship produces it so often that it’s impossible to avoid it. Condition sine qua non, Caen wins at Dunkirk. Traveling to Geoffroy Guichard, among the Greens who have to win to maintain their 2nd place, Rodez loses. At the same time, Paris FC did no better than a draw at home against En Avant Guingamp who can still believe in the Top 5.

With three more points, Malherbe would overtake Rodez and Paris FC, to find themselves 4th. The SMC would thus approach the final day being master of its destiny, facing Valenciennes, the red lantern already relegated to the National, in an Ornano stadium in turmoil.

Here too, the scenario assumes a Caen success at Dunkirk and a poor performance from at least one of the clubs preceding it: a defeat or a draw for Paris FC combined with a defeat or a draw for Rodez.

By winning, Caen could overtake one of the two teams currently in the Top 5. Note that if the Ruthenois achieve even a draw in Saint-Etienne, they will remain above SM Caen thanks to a better goal difference (unless there is a weed success in the North by at least a 7 goal difference).

There exists a universe in which the Ligue 2 ranking remains unchanged on the evening of the 37th day. If Caen, Rodez and Paris FC win or if the three teams draw. In these scenarios, even if Laval (7th) beats Troyes and catches up with SMC in the standings, the Mayenne club remains behind on goal difference.

On the other hand, there is also a universe where Caen could slip to 7th place, while retaining a chance of finishing in the Top 5. In the event of a defeat for Caen, Rodez and Paris FC, combined with a Laval success, the SMC would slip one place but would remain one point from 5th place, and two from 4th.

If Caen does not win at Dunkirk, and at the same time, Rodez and Paris FC win, it will be the end of the last illusions. Even before the last day, the die would be cast. The Valenciennes reception would only serve to properly greet the players after a very special season, marked by a hopeful start, a dark autumn, and a rebirth with the arrival of the club’s idol on the bench.

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