Stan Son breaks down his top DraftKings DFS target and value plays for Week 7.
Week 7. May this be the slate that the fantasy goodies rain down from the heavens. I can’t lie, though. I’m in a state of depression because Tampa Bay is not on the main slate, meaning that we cannot reap the inevitable three-touchdown performance from Mike Evans. But don’t worry, I won’t turn into a Karen, so do not feel threatened. I am disciplined like one versed in Tibetan lessons. Hop aboard my ship. Let’s raise the sails and set off to uncover the goodies like Magellan.
There are 10 games on the main slate. DraftKings Sportsbook has five games with an O/U of at least 45: DET/MIN (49.5), HOU/GB (47.5), SEA/ATL (50.5), CAR/WAS (52) and KC/SF (47). There are no games with a total of 40 or below.
There is no double-digit spread favorite. WAS is the largest favorite at -7.5 over CAR. There are four games within a field goal: MIN -2 over DET, GB -2.5 over HOU, ATL -3 over SEA and SF -1.5 over KC. There are two home dogs: NYG and CLE.
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Quarterback
Stud
Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders vs. Carolina Panthers ($7,600) – Soooo, we’ve got two porous pass defenses and this game has the highest total on the slate. Hmmm, one plus one equals two. Carolina has allowed the third-highest Pass EPA while Washington is right below in fifth. Points are more than likely going to be scored in this one. Daniels has been fantastic this season, going over 20 FPTS in each of the last four games. He does it through the air. He does it on the ground. The only thing he doesn’t do is leap over tall buildings.
Other Options – Jalen Hurts ($7,300), CJ Stroud ($7,100), Jordan Love ($6,900), Joe Burrow ($6,800), Kirk Cousins ($6,300)
Value
Andy Dalton, Carolina Panthers at Washington Commanders ($5,200) – Copy and paste from the above Daniels section. Except for the doing things on the ground and leaping over tall buildings part. Andy Dalton is either the Red Rifle or Raggedy Andy. I think the Red Rifle will be cocked and loaded, as the Commanders are going to score points and they have a defense that should provide plenty of opportunities to make plays.
Other Options – Anthony Richardson ($6,000) or Joe Flacco ($6,000), Geno Smith ($5,800), Aidan O’Connell ($4,800)
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Running Back
Stud
Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers at Washington Commanders ($6,500) – All the pieces from this game will likely be popular, so take that into consideration when clicking on any buttons. But there should be plenty of points in this one, so you need to factor that into the equation as well! To start the season, Hubbard and Miles Sanders had a 55/45-ish split. In Week 6, the split was 80/20 in favor of Hubbard. “Look at me. Look at me. I am the captain now.” Hubbard rushed 18 times for 92 yards and hauled in five-of-six targets. He also dominated the red zone touches, 5-2. Hubbard has put up double-digit FPTS in every game this season, with a high of 30.9.
Other Options – Saquan Barkley ($8,200), Kyren Williams ($8,100), Kenneth Walker III ($7,300), Joe Mixon ($7,200), Tony Pollard ($6,300)
Value
Patrick Taylor Jr., San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs ($5,200) – It’s early in the week but there’s a chance Jordan Mason doesn’t play. If he does, then abort this mission. The matchup is a tough one, as the Chiefs boast one of the best defenses in the league. Against the run, they have allowed the eighth-lowest Rush EPA. But the Kyle Shanahan scheme is so deadly and the 49ers boast weapons galore in the passing game, so there could be opportunities and seams. Isaac Guerendo will likely be the popular one if Mason is unable to go, as he has 4.3 40 speed and had a 76-yard run last week. That said, Taylor received only one fewer snap than Guerendo last week and had two more red zone opportunities. He is $1,400 cheaper than Guerendo.
Other Options – Alexander Mattison ($5,500)
Wide Receiver
Stud
Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions ($8,500) – Jefferson has scored at least 15 FPTS in every game this season, with three over 20. The Vikings are coming off their bye, so they should be well-rested and prepared. The matchup is a good one, especially with the Lions losing their star pass rusher in Aidan Hutchinson. Detroit has played man defense at the third-highest rate. You’re not going to beliee who is one of the best against man defense. Yup, JJ has the second-highest Rec EPA against man this season.
Other Options – Ja’Marr Chase ($8,400), AJ Brown ($8,000), Stefon Diggs ($7,700), Drake London ($6,900), Terry McLaurin ($6,800), Diontae Johnson ($6,600), Tank Dell ($6,500), Tee Higgins ($6,400)
Value
JuJu Smith-Schuster, Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers ($4,000) – In the game that the Chiefs lost Rashee Rice to injury, Smith-Schuster ended up playing in 52% of the snaps. He did not earn a target. Last week, though, he played 67% of the snaps and garnered eight targets, the second-most on the team. He converted those into seven catches for 130 yards. There is uncertainty as to his role, but it would appear that Smith-Schuster will continue to an instrumental part of the passing game behind Travis Kelce. His big body and ability to win in the short to intermediate areas of the field would seem to have the apple of Patrick Mahomes’ eye. They also have history, as Smith-Schuster was a member of the Chiefs during the 2022 season when he received 101 targets and hauled in 78 for 933 yards and three touchdowns.
Other Options – Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($5,900), Jordan Addison ($5,600), Darnell Mooney ($5,600), Tyler Lockett ($5,300), Alec Pierce ($5,200), Xavier Legette ($5,100), Darius Slayton ($5,100), Christian Watson ($4,900)
Tight End
Stud
Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Rams ($5,800) – The options at the top of the tight end pool are all very enticing, but I’m leaning towards Bowers. He’s leading the position in targets and Aidan O’Connell is locking onto him. Last season, O’Connell peppered Davante Adams with targets last season, but he’s likely not playing, so Bowers has become that number-one guy. Bowers has received 10 and 12 targets over the last two weeks and should see double-digits targets again in this one. The Rams have allowed the second-most FPTS on average to the position this season.
Other Options – Travis Kelce ($6,300), George Kittle ($6,000)
Value
Ja’Tavion Sanders, Carolina Panthers at Washington Commanders ($2,900) – Sanders filled in for Tommy Tremble, who suffered a concussion. Sanders played 73% of the snaps in each of the last two weeks and received seven and five targets. He also garnered one red zone look in each game. A plethora of points will likely be scored in this one, with the Red Rifle doing his thing.
Other Options – Colby Parkinson ($3,800), Noah Fant ($3,500)
Defense/Special Teams
Stud
Bengals D/ST at Cleveland Browns ($3,300) – The Bengals D/ST has scored over two FPTS only twice, and they have a negative game on the ledger. That said, they are facing Deshaun Watson, he of the three interceptions, five fumbles and a league-leading 31 sacks taken. Please and thank you.
Other Options – Colts D/ST ($3,200)
Value
Vikings D/ST vs. Detroit Lions ($2,900) – Brian Flores is one of the best defensive coordinators in the league and he’s had an extra week to prepare for this one. The Lions have one of the best offenses, but Jared Goff has been prone to the multi-interception game from time to time. I think the Vikings will put up points in this one and DK Sportsbook has the total at 49.5. If so, then Detroit will have to go to the air, which could allow for the sack and interception opportunities.
Other Options – Texans D/ST ($2,600)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
