HAS As winter sets in, real estate rates also experience a slight cold snap. While the decline in rates slows down, or even freezes, can we predict a future rise ?
Borrowing rates noted on 01/22/2025
Stability and declines for almost the entire country
Overall, real estate rates continue to see a slight decline in mid-January. And this was not a sure thing, with the 10-year OATs which recently experienced an increase, going from 3.20% to 3.47%, then a slight fall on January 16 to return to 3.36%.
A movement which could have had a significant impact on rates, and yet it has not yet happened. Indeed, of the 130 average rates analyzed by Empruntis data:
- 72 rates are falling;
- 57 rates are stagnating;
- Only 1 rate saw a slight increase of 5 basis points, in Normandy for a loan term of 7 years.
Observations which are found on average rates over 25 years, a key indicator of market dynamics.
Region |
Average rate over 25 years |
Monthly evolution |
---|---|---|
Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes |
3,50 % |
Stable |
Burgundy-Franche-Comté |
3,45 % |
– 0,05 point |
3,50 % |
Stable |
|
Center-Val de Loire |
3,45 % |
– 0,05 point |
Corse |
3,50 % |
Stable |
Great East |
3,45 % |
-0,05 point |
Hauts-de-France - |
3,50 % |
Stable |
Île-de-France |
3,55 % |
Stable |
Normandie |
3,50 % |
Stable |
New Aquitaine |
3,45 % |
Stable |
Occitania |
3,45 % |
-0,05 point |
Loire region |
3,50 % |
Stable |
Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur |
3,50 % |
Stable |
As for the best rate over 25 years, reserved for profiles with the most convincing borrower files, it is 3.14% across all regions. Either a symbolic decrease of one basis point.
Will the end of the fall in rates come with the end of winter?
The year therefore begins in a context that remains favorable for borrowers! But the slowdown in the fall in rates may suggest a slight rise to follow. This is perhaps the best time to make your project a reality!
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