However, Donald Trump will not succeed in canceling all the efforts already undertaken by manufacturers and States. “Part of this transition is carried out directly by the federated states or by companies and for this transition, Washington has little influence. It is a transition that is happening automatically. Texas is the state where the energies renewables have been deployed the most this year and yet it is a state which voted massively for Donald Trump simply because it is a business which is increasingly profitable. explains the specialist in environmental geopolitics.
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The expert believes, however, that there is a very real risk that a series of companies which had started to commit to CSR issues (corporate social responsibility Editor’s note) would backtrack following the election of Trump.
“We know that this is an issue that is increasingly important in Europe and China, but these subjects are increasingly considered woke or ideological and companies do not want to be open to accusations of ideological bias “indicates the researcher.
It is on the international level that the consequences of the return of Donald Trump could be the most significant.
“The big risk is that the United States will significantly reduce its financial contribution to a whole series of international organizations and there is an even greater risk that Donald Trump will withdraw from the Paris agreements again. is not a subject he insisted on much during his campaign but he still mentioned it on one or another occasion”recalls François Gemenne.
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Already in 2017, Donald Trump pulled the United States out of the Paris agreement. But this decision had limited effects. It could be different if he decided, after a return to the agreement decided by Joe Biden, to once again slam the door on the international agreement.
A clear example for Milei’s Argentina and Putin’s Russia
“The effects were not so significant in 2017 because we managed to contain the problem. Only the United States had left the Paris agreement. Here, the risk is to have a domino effect and that other states led by populists do not follow suit. We can think of Xavier Milei’s Argentina, Putin’s Russia and Orban’s Hungary. had this domino effect with several States leaving the Paris Agreement, it would be a very hard blow for international cooperation and it would undoubtedly mean the end of the Paris Agreement because the keystone of this agreement is is universality One of the reasons why we did not put any obligation, limit or formal constraint on greenhouse gas emissions in the Paris agreement is to be. sure to have universal ratification And therefore, if we have neither universality nor constraint, there is not much left.
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