“We are in the lead in the seven key states,” boasts Donald Trump

Two days before the presidential election on November 5, the Republican candidate affirmed Saturday evening (during the night from Saturday to Sunday French time) during a rally in Greensboro, in the key state of North Carolina, that his party “is in the lead in the seven decisive states”. “The lying media says it's very tight. This is not true. Based on what's happening, that's not true. We are in the lead”he added in front of excited supporters.

The opponent of Democrat Kamala Harris, with whom the polls put him neck and neck, held on November 2 the second rally of the four he is to give this weekend in North Carolina, the only state he won in the 2020 presidential election.

Trump leads in 4 out of 7 key states, according to poll aggregator Figaro

In fact, Donald Trump is not “in the lead” in the seven key states, the famous “swing states” which can potentially swing to one side or another of the political spectrum. This year, there are seven: Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The gap between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in these states, which total 93 electors, currently oscillates between one and three points.

According to the poll aggregator Figaro (NYTimes, Cook Political Report, FiveThirtyEight), Donald Trump has a slight lead over his rival in Pennsylvania (49% against 48%), in Georgia (49% against 48%), in North Carolina (49% against 48%) and in Arizona (50% versus 47%). But at the national level, Kamala Harris remains ahead (49% against 48%).

Even according to the aggregator RealClearPolitics, generally more favorable to the Republican, Donald Trump does not come first in the seven key states, but only in five, with Harris having a few hundredths more in Michigan and Wisconsin. And in any case, all the polls place both candidates within the margin of error.