The latest Léger poll reveals a surprising fact: voters aged 18 to 34 would vote in a greater proportion for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives.
In the popular imagination, young people are on the left and vote for the NDP or for Québec solidaire. However, this is clearly not the case.
The younger generation clearly understands that the current model does not work. It doesn’t take much to see that our immigration system, health network and education are lagging behind and struggling to meet needs. Young people are therefore currently reacting to the failure of this model.
Outside Quebec
Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives have led in the polls since May 2023. In total, the PCC has dominated for 167 consecutive polls. In the first polls, Mr. Poilievre came out on top thanks to voters aged 18 to 34, who abandoned more left-wing or progressive political groups.
It will therefore be interesting to see if this conservative trend, which affects all demographic groups outside Quebec, will also manifest itself here.
Faced with this possible threat, we should not be surprised to see the Bloc Québécois insist on the issue of old age pensions, knowing that it cannot afford to lose the vote of voters aged over 55.
At the polls
Usually, young people do not rush to the polls. It will therefore be interesting to see if the issues that will mark the next campaign will be important enough to encourage young adults to vote.
However, beyond the simple fact of going to the polls, if young people really want to see change, they will also have to convince their parents to vote for a political party ready to challenge the current model.
If seniors follow the movement of young people, the next federal election in Quebec could well have some surprises in store for us.