Slightly behind in the polls at the national level, Donald Trump is making a strong comeback in the swing states, these undecided states which will decide the vote.
The American presidential election will take place on November 5, and less than a month before the vote, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are close in voting intentions. The Republican is slightly behind at the national level according to the political analysis site 538, of the American media ABC News, with 46% of potential votes against 48.4% for his competitor. According to the aggregator 270towins, Donald Trump is given 46.9%, compared to 49.3% for Kamala Harris.
But it is more interesting to look at the “swing states”, those states whose election results vary depending on the vote, oscillating over the years between the right and the left. They are called pivotal states, which will decide the outcome of the election. And in recent days, the Republican candidate has made a notable return to these famous swing states. To convince Republican voters committed to his cause, but also voters who are still undecided, the Republican candidate for the White House is banking on a program well identified with the American right on the economic level or on the subject of immigration. He thus promised to work towards the relocation of businesses and industries to the United States and to launch “the largest expulsion operation” of migrants in history.
Donald Trump in the polls
If the national polls give a slight advantage to the Democrats, of two to three points, it is at the state level that the vote will be played out, particularly around 7 states which change their political color from one election to the next. ‘other: swing states. Donald Trump comes first in four of the seven swing states as of October 10, 2024 according to the compilation of polls carried out by 270tonwins. Kamala Harris is only between 0.4 and 0.8 points ahead in the last two swing states and has lost quite a bit of ground in these key areas in a week. The two candidates are tied in Pennsylvania. The battle promises to be very close between the two candidates. Other territories are being watched closely because they are high stakes, such as Florida which has 30 electors and in which Donald Trump is in the lead with 50% of voting intentions, compared to 45% for his Democratic competitor.
Donald Trump’s program
Economy: lower taxes and development of cryptocurrencies
On September 5, in New York, Donald Trump said he wanted to put an end to “communism”. “Send Comrade Harris Home to California.” A taste of his program, to say the least cash, without concession. On the economic side, the real estate magnate is considering customs duties of “more than 10%” on all imports, to finance a “large tax cut for the middle class, the upper class, the lower class, business class,” he explains. At the same time, he intends to make the United States “the world capital of bitcoin and cryptocurrencies”.
International: what impact on France and the European Union?
Since the United States Trade Act of 1974, the American president has the ability to impose quotas and tariffs up to 15% higher for 150 days on countries that have significant surpluses in their balance of payments. payments with the United States. It could therefore go further than the 10% announced so far. Enough to generate a real economic and trade war between the USA and the EU. However, this scenario still appears unlikely, particularly because the EU remains the United States’ largest trading partner.
Environment: end of regulations and abundant oil
Concerning the environment, the former President of the United States could be tempted to lift all possible regulations if he were to reach the White House. “For each new regulation, we will eliminate at least 10 old laws, and frankly we will have no trouble doing it,” he assured at the beginning of September. “I will quickly put an end to the great green scam” he has already promised in the event of a second term. “We are going to drill (for oil) like crazy” he announced to his supporters, so as to “lower energy prices very quickly”.
Immigration: “the largest expulsion operation” of migrants
On the subject of immigration, Donald Trump’s program has the merit of being clear, he wishes to launch “the largest expulsion operation” of migrants as soon as he is elected if he were to join the White House. The American billionaire also plans to “use the army” to achieve his goals in order to expel migrants, then to open new detention camps. The automatic soil right will also be canceled in the event of the election of Donald Trump, “for children born to irregular migrants”.
Abortion: Trump cultivates ambiguity
Donald Trump maintains uncertainty regarding the future of abortions in the country. He does not position himself on the line of the American religious right, according to which we should promise an outright ban on abortion throughout the country through federal law. “You have to follow your soul and conscience on this issue, but don’t forget that you also have to win elections,” he said. According to Franceinfo, the Republican is trying to present himself as a defender of “reproductive rights”, an adjustment compared to his previous mandate.
“In Springfield, they eat dogs,” Trump refuses to back down on his false allegations
Thursday October 17, 2024. At the Univision town hall this Wednesday, Donald Trump refused to revisit false allegations that Haitian migrants from Springfield were eating pets in Ohio, in front of undecided Latino voters while this information was rejected by local and state leaders from both parties.
When asked by an audience member if he really believed the Springfield story, Trump insisted he was only “saying what was reported.” “All I do is report,” declared the former President of the United States, sharing his sources only to cite “newspapers”. The real estate mogul also, again without any supporting evidence, claimed that the migrant community “also eats other things that they are not supposed to eat.”
Trump will work at a McDonald’s this weekend
Wednesday October 16, 2024. After the statements of his competitor at the White House having claimed to have worked at McDonald’s during his studies, Donald Trump will go this weekend to one of the brand’s restaurants to prepare fries in Pennsylvania. The objective for the Republican is to discredit Kamala Harris, who had mentioned her experience within the fast food brand in her campaign clip to remind us that she comes from the middle class.
Lately, pro-Trump people have even accused the Democratic candidate of having lied and of never having set foot in McDonald’s. In September, Donald Trump already declared that he wanted to work as a cook to “see what it’s like”, according to the CNN channel. The former President of the United States should therefore keep his promise this weekend, and go “in the fryer”, as indicated in the columns of The Philadelphia Enquire.
A new position from Trump on abortion?
Wednesday October 16, 2024. The Republican candidate for the US presidential election was more docile than usual regarding abortion, during a public meeting with women in Georgia broadcast on Fox News. The real estate magnate notably suggested less “severe” laws in Republican states. He also announced that he was against the ban on the right to abortion at the federal level and was satisfied that the decision would now be up to the states. He also says he supports access to contraception and in vitro fertilization, which is endangered in states like Alabama.
Since the start of his campaign, Trump has not positioned himself on the line of the American religious right, according to which it would be necessary to promise an outright ban on abortion throughout the country thanks to a federal law. “You have to follow your soul and conscience on this issue, but don’t forget that you also have to win elections,” he said.
“Slow and lethargic”: a scathing Trump responds to Harris
Tuesday October 15, 2024. The mutual attacks between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris continue. Saturday October 12, the Democrat accused her rival of lack of transparency regarding his health check, highlighting the age of the American real estate mogul, and indicating that the latter was not fit to lead the United States . Donald Trump did not fail to react this Monday, October 15 on his X account (formerly Twitter).
“I think it’s very important that Kamala Harris passes a test of cognitive endurance and agility. Her actions have led many people to believe that there might be something very wrong with her. Even 60 Minutes and CBS, in order to protect Lyin’ Kamala, illegally and unscrupulously replaced an answer she gave that was totally “crazy” with another answer that had nothing to do with the question asked.” he said. “Plus, she’s slow and lethargic when it comes to answering even the simplest questions. We’ve just been through this for almost four years, we shouldn’t have to do it again!” blasted the ex- president of the world’s leading power, scratching the current mandate of Joe Biden in the process.
A third assassination attempt against Trump foiled?
Monday October 14, 2024. A man was arrested on the sidelines of a Donald Trump meeting on Saturday October 12 in Coachella, California, in possession of several illegally possessed weapons. The Riverside County Sheriff’s Department says the individual said he wanted to “kill the president.” The man was also in possession of a handgun and a high-capacity magazine according to sheriff’s officials after LA Times. He was released a few hours later on $5,000 bail.
The man arrested is said to be Vem Miller, a resident of Las Vegas and 49 years old. He is registered as a Republican and is running for the Nevada Assembly in 2022 according to USA Today. When he arrived at the meeting, the latter introduced himself as a journalist. Several passports were found on him, “under different names,” the sheriff said during a press conference. His vehicle was unregistered and had a false license plate. The main suspect says he is a “100% Trump supporter”, and that he traveled “all the time with his guns in the back of his van”, with Fox News.
Vem Miller is scheduled to appear in court on January 2, 2025, for “possession of a loaded firearm” and “possession of a high-capacity magazine.” The arrest “had no impact on the safety of former President Trump or event participants,” sheriff’s officials said.
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