At the dawn of the new year 2025, events are moving forward at a “frantic” pace never before experienced. In addition to the Middle East region where current events continue to bring their share of dramas and tragedies, it is the member countries of the European Union, which seem to be facing seemingly soft political restructurings, but with serious consequences for the future of the Old Continent, openly called by Washington to limit itself to its role as a satellite in the service of Uncle Sam. Main lever on which Donald Trump began to press to announce Yankee supremacy in one month before his taking office: gas supply to the European Union. Donald Trump's return to power will likely radically change the rules governing the global energy market for the exclusive benefit of US “decision makers” to better control the background image that Americans watch 24/7 and which shows America and only America. America, because for the rest, there are only black holes that lead to the sun, to Mars, to oil and to the “roof” of humanity. This is not political fiction, but a test of strength and a commercial standoff that the American president intends to impose on everyone, including the United States' main partners. Hydrocarbons are the lever he intends to use to reduce his country's trade deficit compared to the EU in trade in goods. A deficit which amounts to 155.8 billion dollars. Will this new situation have consequences on Algerian gas deliveries to European Union countries? Algeria became the leading gas supplier to the EU last October, with exports amounting to 1.3 billion euros in value during the same month, or 21% of total imports from this space. Algeria is followed by Russia, the United States, Norway and Azerbaijan. It is connected to Europe by two gas pipelines (to Spain and Italy). Donald Trump has already warned the leaders of the European Union, presenting them with a fait accompli. Will the latter, under American pressure, buy less Algerian gas? The scenario is possible after the threats made by the future US president to impose very high customs taxes on goods coming from the EU in the same way as China, Canada and Mexico. Determined to free itself definitively from dependence on Russian gas, the EU will certainly submit to American demands, but its enormous energy needs will support its delivery contracts with the Algerian partner in the long term. “There should not be a considerable impact on Algerian natural gas exports via pipeline. If Europe were to increase its purchases from the United States, it would be additional LNG,” according to TSA. According to this media, the largest European customers of Algerian LNG within the European Union are France (1.5 million tonnes), Italy and Spain (950,000 tonnes each) in the first half of 2024. The first Algeria's European customer is not an EU country. This is Turkey (2.17 million tonnes during the same period), specifies the same source.
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