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a couple in turmoil

The president is once again breaking unpopularity records. In the latest delivery of the Ipsos barometer- La Tribune Sundayit fell by 2 points to only receive 23% favorable judgments. Since his election in 2017, this is his second worst month. In December 2018, in the midst of the Yellow Vest crisis, it was at 20%. “ His position within his own family becomes very fragilenotes Brice Teinturier, Deputy Managing Director of Ipsos. The head of state is supported by only 61% of Renaissance-MoDem-Horizons supporters, while in December 2018 it was still 81%. . »

If Michel Barnier is, by far, more popular than him, his situation nevertheless begins, two months after his appointment, to become darker. With 31% favorable judgments, he also lost 2 points. On the other hand, unfavorable opinions increase by 6 points and reach 52%. If the Prime Minister is rather appreciated by Renaissance-MoDem-Horizons supporters (62%), he does not outperform those of LR, his party (66%). Note: he is judged very harshly by RN voters. 61% of them give a negative judgment to the tenant of Matignon, an increase of 14 points in one month.

The RN launches its Matignon “bis” plan

The Minister of the Armed Forces stands out

Within the government, it is Bruno Retailleau who stands out. For 36% of those questioned, he is the best minister in the Barnier team. This opinion is notably shared by 53% of RN supporters. Among Macronist voters, the rating of the tenant of Place Beauvau – who benefits in particular from the rise in security concerns (+7% in one month) – is nevertheless much lower (38%). The latter prefer Sébastien Lecornu. Third in the ranking, the Minister of the Armed Forces emerges within a government where few are known.

If Bruno Retailleau became President of the Republic in 2027, only 27% of RN supporters would say they were satisfied. “If they can appreciate his speech, they always prefer the original to the copy,notes Brice Teinturier.Marine Le Pen remains by far their champion.» The boss of RN deputies remains the one whose accession to the Élysée would satisfy the most French people, gaining 4 points in one month, just like Édouard Philippe, in second place. If Gabriel Attal gains 3 points overall, he loses 6 within his Renaissance-MoDem-Horizons base.

* Compared to the October barometer. Ipsos survey for La Tribune Dimanche carried out on November 6 and 7, 2024 among a representative sample of the French population of 1,000 people aged 18 and over interviewed online using the quota method. (Credits: LTD/INFOGRAPHIC CAMILLE CHAUVIN FOR LA TRIBUNE SUNDAY)

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