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How will adapt to the increase of 2 million seniors by 2030?

The demographic impact on services for seniors

is preparing for a major demographic challenge. By 2030, it will see the number of its citizens aged 75 and over increase by almost 2 million. This increase poses critical questions about the country's ability to provide adequate care and support to this vulnerable population.

The aging of the population leads to an increase in cases of loss of autonomy. Dependent seniors will need support services to help them in their daily lives, whether at home or in a specialized establishment.

The challenges of staying at home

Currently, around 786,000 seniors benefit from the Personalized Autonomy Allowance (APA), which helps cover the costs linked to dependency. However, the shortage of home care workers is alarming. According to studies, home helpers provide 27 million hours of work per month, a figure that highlights the heavy workload.

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This situation is aggravated by frequent travel between homes, waiting times and interventions that are often too short to effectively meet the needs of seniors. This model raises questions about the sustainability and effectiveness of home support.

The challenges of specialized establishments

At the same time, specialized establishments, such as EHPADs, face their own challenges. They currently house around 594,700 elderly people with severe loss of autonomy. These establishments require a significant number of professionals to provide constant and quality support, with a ratio of 0.7 full-time equivalent per resident.

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This configuration involves not only daily assistance but also more complex medical care, requiring highly qualified staff in sufficient numbers to meet the demands of senior care.

Perspectives and solutions for the future

Faced with these challenges, innovative solutions are needed to ensure that the growing needs of seniors are met. One of the proposals discussed includes an increase in the reception capacity of establishments as well as strengthening the workforce.

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It is also crucial to support caregivers by improving their working conditions, reducing pressure on them, and ensuring their well-being. The integration of new technologies could also play a key role in optimizing home support.

  • Increase reception capacity in specialized establishments.
  • Double the number of professionals by 2050.
  • Improve the working conditions and well-being of caregivers.
  • Use home automation to optimize home support.

DREES has developed the LIVIA model to assess staffing needs in each region, taking into account the level of dependency and where elderly people live.

In conclusion, as France prepares to welcome 2 million additional seniors, the key lies in strategic planning and bold reforms to meet the growing demand for aged care services. Efforts must be focused not only on increasing capacities and resources but also on a better quality of life for our seniors.

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