The All Saints’ Day holidays started Friday evening or even yesterday Saturday. Between now and the first of November, is the weather forecast to be pleasant? Elements of response in this new article.
The high pressures expected in the coming days will they persist until All Saints’ Day? Can we expect at least calm weather without rain? Let’s discover the weather trends and forecasts in France.
Anticyclonic over the next few days
High pressures will strengthen for the start of the week. This will have the effect of providing a rather mild weather, especially for Wednesday which should be the most beautiful of the week.
These high pressures will be accompanied by slightly less mild air, particularly over the northern half. Seasonal temperatures are expected, particularly in the morning. During your afternoons, expect values consistent with the time of year.
That being said, will the situation remain the same until the beginning of November? Well not necessarily. Indeed, low pressure activity over the Atlantic could worsen the weather by the next weekend. But will this extend until the first of November?
Strong deterioration in perspective
By next weekend and beginning of the weekendthe weather conditions will therefore deteriorate significantly. Indeed, stormy rain sometimes marked are to be expected.
Moreover, we will monitor the establishment of a potential new Cévennes or Mediterranean episode the extent and intensity of which still require precision. This rainy weather should, however, affect all of France from west to east.
Looking at the modeling of the European ECMWF model, we see that the accumulations of precipitation between now and October 30 are marked over the entire south-eastern quarter and as far as the Eastern Pyrenees.
More than 150 to 200mm are currently expected within ten daysthe majority of which would fall towards the end of next week. Being a rather large resolution, this indicates that much larger accumulations are possible locally.
These trends and forecasts will be refined over the coming days. but caution remains due to soils already saturated following the latest rainy episodes.
Better afterwards?
After this new, sometimes very turbulent sequence, we should return to high pressures in the north of France. The weather forecast could therefore be generally appreciable for All Saints’ Day.according to the latest projections.
Some uncertainties are nevertheless still present, particularly on the southern half who could keep a cloudier weather or even still disturbed. In terms of temperatures, these should be within normal range or even a little milder, particularly for the southern half.
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