“Major” Hurricane Kirk, currently category 4, will weaken and then affect part of France in the middle of next week. Heavy rainfall and wind are expected on the northwest façade.
Bring out the umbrellas and raincoats: part of France will be watered for this second week of October. “Major” Hurricane Kirk currently in the Atlantic will continue its path to Western Europe. On Wednesday October 9, its remains should even water part of France, as Christelle Robert, forecaster at Météo-France, explains to BFMTV.com.
The currently category 4 hurricane is buffeted by winds of around 215 km/h, but is expected to lose intensity over the days, as it approaches the Azores and then the French coast.
“On this course, Hurricane Kirk should lose its tropical characteristics,” relates the forecaster, speaking with caution in the face of an event that is still uncertain for several reasons.
Wind, rain, mild air
What might the passage of this bad weather look like? First of all, in most forecasts, it should be quite localized and only affect a large quarter of the country. Other scenarios not favored at this stage suggest a broader transition, without sweeping the entire country.
Scenarios and potential trajectories put into images by the Keraunos Thunderstorms and Storms Observatory:
What should we expect in Brittany and Normandy? A “fairly strong wind” and “fairly significant amounts of rain” according to the forecaster. But also a dose of softer air which could cause the temperature to rise slightly during the day.
But it is still very early to define the exact contours of this depression. “There are always conditions. These tropical systems disrupt our forecast models”, nuance Christelle Robert, almost a week before Kirk’s passage.
This bad weather would not be exceptional for this time of year. “We are in the hurricane season. It can happen that these tropical systems come to end their lives in Europe. It is classic and we observe it regularly,” adds the specialist.
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