The more Morocco succeeds in convincing and seducing the international community, the more the Algerian regime sinks into its aggressiveness and pyromania. He refuses to recognize his diplomatic defeat and continues to raise the stakes.
There is a particular political atmosphere currently reigning in the Maghreb. The more Morocco succeeds in its diplomacy and its economy, the more the Algerian regime is seized by neurotic trances. The Moroccan Sahara affair has become the great barometer of this competition, the decisive marker of this strategic equation in North Africa.
Recently, following numerous Moroccan diplomatic performances, the decision of the Republic of Panama to suspend its recognition of the fictitious SADR provided a major blow to the separatist obsession of the Polisario carried out head on by the Algerian soldiers. The importance of Panama’s decision is that it comes from one of the first countries to have recognized the Polisario in the 1980s and to have opened diplomatic representation to it. This Panamanian decision will, without a doubt, have reverberations on the South American and African continents, as Panama was active in the political marketing of the Polisario in this region of the world.
This major decision is by no means the result of chance. It comes in a context where Moroccan diplomacy is reaping the fruits of its enormous political investments launched by the Kingdom since 2007, the year in which Morocco proposed the autonomy plan as a solution to the crisis under Moroccan sovereignty. . This dynamic driven by Morocco has managed to score many points, starting with American recognition, followed by major European, Spanish and French choices. All these achievements ended up having a positive impact on the work of the United Nations on the Sahara, the cardinal point of which for Morocco is to have validated the option of autonomy as the only solution to this Saharan affair.
The more Morocco succeeds in convincing and seducing the international community, the more the Algerian regime sinks into its aggressiveness and pyromania. He refuses to recognize his diplomatic defeat and continues to raise the stakes as shown by his checkered relationship with France. The Algerian regime criticizes Emmanuel Macron for having provided the support of France, a former colonial power, for Morocco’s sovereignty over its Sahara. The irrationality of the Algerian regime is such that it is ready to use all the cards to try to thwart Moroccan successes. In addition to having developed an uninhibited Moroccan phobia in its official media, this Algerian military regime is increasingly locked into total denial of the new geostrategic realities.
These new realities are likely to accentuate Algerian anger. Starting with Russia, considered by the Algerian regime as part of the galaxy of its allies. It is true that during UN votes on the Sahara, Moscow generally opts for abstention, but in political reality, Vladimir Putin’s Russia is moving closer to Morocco. As evidenced by this double major economic negotiation with Morocco. The first being the development of cooperation between the two countries in the field of civil nuclear power. The second concerns this famous fishing agreement that Moscow is reportedly negotiating with Rabat, integrating the coastline of the Saharan provinces. Neither Russia nor Morocco can begin these sensitive projects if there was the slightest suspicion about Moscow’s real positioning on Moroccan territorial unity.
The second power that can provide decisive support to Morocco is China. Its President XI Jinping was received on an official visit by HRH Crown Prince Moulay Hassan in conditions which leave little doubt about Chinese readiness to recognize the Moroccan nature of the Sahara. Chinese willingness to participate, with heavy investments, in the structural development of this region cannot be achieved if China integrates Morocco’s sovereignty over its Saharan territories into its vision. With its formidable efficiency and legendary discretion, Morocco is gradually but surely gaining the support of two important members of the Security Council. Russia and China. Added to the two others already acquired in Morocco, the United States and France, the Moroccan triumph at the United Nations will be total and the Algerian ire completely disorienting. With of course immense impacts on the African scene and within the institutions of the African Union.
