After more than seven hours of negotiations, deputies and senators found common ground this Wednesday evening to approve a compromise text concerning the Social Security budget for 2025. This agreement, found in the joint committee, opens the way for the adoption of the text without a vote via 49.3next Monday at the National Assembly. What exposes Michel Barnier's government to censorship.
Towards a recourse to 49.3
The joint committee's mission was to achieve conciliation between the two assemblies on a common text. The seven deputies and seven senators of the commission agreed in particular on a reduction in reductions in employer contributions, a measure to increase pensions in 2025 below inflation for more than half of retirees or even an increase in a tax on sugary drinks. On the other hand, parliamentarians rejected a measure adopted in the Senate aimed at making workers work without pay for seven more hours per year to finance the disability and old age sector.
This new version must still be submitted to a final vote by the National Assembly and the Senate. But not having a majority in the Assembly, the Prime Minister risks having to use section 49.3 of the Constitution to pass the text without a vote, starting this Monday. There will be “certainly” and 49.3, “because there is no majority in the National Assembly“, to have you Michel Barnier on TF1 Tuesday evening.
The threat of a motion of censure
If the government uses 49.3, the text will be considered adoptedwithout being put to a vote, unless a motion of censure is filed within the next 24 hours. If the motion is adopted, the government will fall.
“Every time there is a 49.3 we will file a motion of censure“, has already warned the president of the deputies La France insoumise, Mathilde Panot, on Tuesday. A motion of censure that the National Rally threatens to vote. The government then urges the socialists not to do it, they would have a “incredible responsibility“, according to spokesperson Maud Bregeon. But the national office of the PS has “unanimously confirmed the vote on a motion of censure“, indicated this Wednesday evening on X the First Secretary of the party, Olivier Faure.
Tuesday evening on TF1, Michel Barnier warned against “the storm“that a fall of the government would trigger, particularly on the financial markets.
