Trudeau persists, Poilievre progresses | JDM

The last six months have been eventful in federal politics. The tectonic plates continued to move thanks to Pierre Poilievre’s conservatives. The coming year will be even more important for all parties, with elections on the horizon. Here’s a quick overview of what’s happened and what lies ahead.

Trudeau, the eternal optimist

While Quebecers celebrate St. John’s Day on Monday, the Liberals will have their eyes glued to the results of the by-election in Toronto–St. Paul’s. If this Liberal bastion falls to the Conservatives, Justin Trudeau’s leadership will face its most important test. The Prime Minister swears that he wants to stay to face Pierre Poilievre. He has been working hard since the start of the year to get back on track, but nothing is working. One wonders if Justin Trudeau’s voice still carries. For the Prime Minister, Canadians have something other than politics on their minds and are not yet in “choice” mode. We can therefore conclude that he relies largely on the weaknesses of his opponent to emerge. But even though there was never a honeymoon with Pierre Poilievre, his personal popularity is growing in the right direction, unlike that of Justin Trudeau.

Poilievre, full steam ahead

Pierre Poilievre continues his progress across the country, including in Quebec, where he still encounters resistance. He who was mainly riding the unpopularity of Justin Trudeau is starting to see his personal popularity gain a little strength. 44% of Canadians believe he would make the best prime minister, a jump of four points since January, according to a recent Ipsos poll. More Canadians than a year ago think he is an acceptable alternative to Justin Trudeau. That said, his style, his tone and his insults are far from pleasing everyone. He will perhaps realize this during his tour of Quebec that he is currently leading.

MARIO BEAUREGARD/AGENCE QMI

Where is Jagmeet Singh?

The NDP continues to struggle in voting intentions. He finds himself more than ever trapped between two waters, since the Conservative Party, under Pierre Poilievre, is leading an intense campaign of seduction among the “working” class. The liberals continue to eat the wool off their backs.

Unsurprisingly, his agreement with the liberals did not pay off politically. Jagmeet Singh can still boast of exerting considerable influence on the progress of the country. Dental insurance, health insurance, expansion of social programs: its results are considerable. Unfortunately, it is also, by force of circumstances, the record of Justin Trudeau, with whom associating, given his declining popularity, is not profitable at the moment.


Archive photo, AFP

The Bloc, this resistance

Until now, the Bloc Québécois has resisted the assaults of Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, who are leading everywhere else in the country. The Bloc was predicted to play a minimal role in this minority parliament which functions in a majority with the alliance between the Liberals and the NDP. He will finally have succeeded in distinguishing himself both in substance and form, in a dysfunctional parliament. He abstained from participating in the chorus of insults from the Conservatives and Liberals in the House of Commons and advanced the issues of immigration, the French language and foreign interference with insistence and aplomb. But nothing is gained for the Bloc, which must deal with an electorate which seems ready for change.


PRIDE-PARADE

Archive photo, QMI Agency

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