Live Elise Mertens – Aryna Sabalenka

Analyse du match Elise Mertens Aryna Sabalenka

The Stakes of the Match Elise Mertens Aryna Sabalenka

Both players want to join the next round. No advantage at the motivation level

The state of form

35th player in the WTA rankings, the Belgian has fought some great battles on outdoor hard courts this year. A final in Hobart (WTA 250) to start her year off well in January, a 1/8th final in Indian Wells to conclude her first part of the season on hard courts. During her second part, before her entry into the US Open, Elise Mertens played a 1/16th final in Montreal (outdoor hard courts). Here in New York, she beat V. Kudermetiova (1st round, 3-6/6-4/6-3), A. Tomljanovic (2nd round, 6-3/6-2) and M. Kostyuk (3rd round, 6-4/4-6/6-3).

For her part, the Belarusian Aryna Sabakenka is the big favourite to win here. Swiatek is much less dominant on hard courts (1 Grand Slam), while the 2 Americans Gauff and Pegula are a little too far behind Sabalenka again. 2nd in the WTA rankings, she arrives here full of confidence, having won her title in Cincinnati without having lost a single set. These playing conditions suit her perfectly and she proves it. After a success against P.Hon (1st round, 6/3 6/3), L.Bronzetti (2nd round, 6/3 6/1), she beat E.Alexandrova (3rd round, 2-6/6-1/6-2). Sabalenka has the advantage in form

The history of confrontations Elise Mertens Aryna Sabalenka

7-2 A.Sabalenka between the two women. Sabalenka Advantage in Confrontations

The players’ performance on the surface

Since 2022 on outdoor hard courts:
– Mertens has a record of 57 wins for 40 losses (many secondary, and especially qualifying). With 66% success in his career.
– Sabalenka has a record of 82 wins for 30 losses. With a career success rate of 72%. Sabalenka’s net advantage on the surface in career

Other parameters to take into account

RAS

What are the probabilities of Elise Mertens Aryna Sabalenka prediction?

• Elise Mertens’ victory has a probability of 15%;
• Aryna Sabalenka’s victory has an 85% probability according to the odds.

Pronostics 1-2 du match Elise Mertens Aryna Sabalenka

The demonstration will have to wait a little longer, potentially Elise Mertens will cause a lot of problems for Aryna Sabalenka. Let’s admit that even a 6-4/6-2 or a 6-3/6-3 in favor of the Belarusian would validate this over + 17.5. +17,5 jeux

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