Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

The Cincinnati Reds (64-72) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (79-56) to Great American Ball Park Saturday night. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 8-3.

Milwaukee has won 4 games in a row after taking down Cincinnati 2 times Friday, including the 2nd game of the doubleheader 14-0, while covering as a +108 road underdog. 1B Rhys Hoskins and SS Willy Adams each had 3 RBIs while 8 Brewers players had at least 1 RBI. LHP DL Hall allowed 0 ER in 7 innings to pick up the win.

Cincinnati has lost back-to-back games after falling twice Friday, including the 2nd game, and failing to cover as a -116 home favorite. The Reds were held to just 5 hits while RHP Rhett Lowder allowed just 1 ER in 4 innings and picked up the loss in his major league debut. The Reds allowed 10 runs in the 9th inning after reaching the end of their bullpen.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Fernando Cruz

Montas (6-9, 4.64 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 120 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-3 loss at Oakland A’s Sunday.
• Saturday will be his first career appearance against the Reds.

Cruz (5.17, 1.37 ERA) makes his 2nd start (63rd appearance). He has a 1.37 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 13.7 K/9 through 55 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 9-6 loss against Oakland A’s Wednesday.
• Career vs. Brewers: 0-1, 2.08 ERA (13 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 8 BB, 16 K in 13 appearances — last outing Aug. 9.

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Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 5

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-120).

In Montas’ first start against Cincinnati since being traded earlier this season, expect him to take control against a Cincinnati offense that has struggled recently. The Reds are just 3-7 in their last 10 games and have lost 5 of their last 6 overall. Milwaukee has won 6 of its last 8 including 4 of its last 5 on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Brewers’ moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-115).

The Brewers have avoided the Under in 7 of their last 10 games and including 4 of their last 5 games. Milwaukee has scored 5 or more runs in each of their last 5 games. Cincinnati has avoided the Under in 8 of their last 10. It has allowed 5 or more runs in each of its last 5 games.

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