Navarro has won 30 of her 40 hard-court matches this year for a 75 percent win rate. The American is also 7-2 in quarterfinal matches in 2024 while flaunting an 81 percent win rate in Grand Slam tournaments. Badosa also carries an impressive 2024 hard-court record of 19-8, including a title at the Mubadala Citi Open in early August. The Spaniard defeated Navarro 1-6 6-4 6-2 in their first-ever match in the second round of the Italian Open in May. Navarro will have a significant edge over Badosa in this match, with a predominantly pro-American crowd cheering in the backdrop.
Moreover, the American has held 82 percent of her serves in this tournament. Needless to say, Navarro needs to serve well against Badosa, who is 3-6 against players ranked in the top 20 in 2024, if she wants to secure her first Grand Slam semis appearance. Our betting prediction for Emma Navarro vs. Paula Badosa: Back Navarro to win, +105, at BetMGM.
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